Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T20:31:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A9 0xa9b4…d3dd crypto 131 markets active 6d ago coverage 44d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$2 (-1%) realized −$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate51%67W / 64L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day4.2pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 73% −$4
weather 20% −$9
sports 7% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 92 -7.5% -16.3% 51% 48% -16.4%
≤30d 101 -0.4% -9.9% 54% 47% -10.0%
≤90d 131 -5.8% -14.8% 51% 40% -13.4%
all 131 -5.8% -14.8% 51% 40% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover4.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.8% 40% -13.4%
10% -22.9% 36% -21.7%
15% -30.4% 30% -29.3%
20% -37.2% 24% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
21% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.85 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.89 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

44d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses67 / 64
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)131 / 131
History coverage44d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day4.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 131 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +55%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +114%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +55%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$3 +266%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +57%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 306 history records