Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T20:15:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
A9 0xa9c1…e0ff crypto 183 markets active 5d ago coverage 19d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$617 (-5%) realized −$617 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate53%97W / 86L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$65per market
Trades / day19.3pace
Fees−$48est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$136
14 days+$119
30 days−$869
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 71% −$801
sports 20% −$253
other 9% +$184
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -27.8% -34.6% 29% 29% -2.2%
≤30d 183 -8.9% -17.5% 53% 49% -15.7%
≤90d 183 -8.9% -17.5% 53% 49% -15.7%
all 183 -8.9% -17.5% 53% 49% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover19.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.5% 49% -15.7%
10% -25.4% 45% -23.8%
15% -32.6% 34% -31.2%
20% -39.2% 25% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$31 vs −$45 · ×0.69 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$617
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses97 / 86
Est. fees paid−$48
Open positions0
Markets (closed)183 / 183
History coverage19d
Avg bet$65
Trades / day19.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 183 Trades
no open positions (34 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $293 −$223 -76%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $311 +$240 +77%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $168 −$167 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $502 +$264 +53%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $10 −$6 -56%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -95%
Dota 2: Game Master vs Grey Trac - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -94%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $11 −$3 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +127%
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 12 $5 −$2 -35%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $49 −$39 -80%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $125 +$146 +117%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $51 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 11 $30 −$13 -42%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $25 −$14 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$10 +71%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $14 +$6 +42%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $92 −$18 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET May 27 $122 −$89 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET May 27 $290 −$116 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET May 27 $143 +$63 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET May 27 $681 −$590 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET May 27 $62 +$21 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET May 27 $107 +$57 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET May 27 $55 −$49 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET May 27 $11 −$8 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET May 27 $307 −$30 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET May 27 $126 +$98 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET May 27 $217 −$209 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET May 27 $104 −$87 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET May 27 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET May 27 $92 −$89 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET May 27 $31 −$29 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET May 27 $31 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET May 27 $31 +$11 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET May 27 $31 +$8 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET May 27 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET May 27 $85 +$31 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET May 27 $34 −$34 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET May 27 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET May 27 $138 +$9 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET May 27 $78 +$19 +24%
Valorant: STREAMER ARENA vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Reg May 27 $181 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET May 27 $26 +$17 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET May 27 $26 +$11 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET May 27 $78 −$14 -18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 10¢ $70 4d
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 78¢ $551 4d
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 43¢ $311 4d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 40¢ $293 4d
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 5d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $532 5d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $255 5d
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $168 5d
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl SELL Team Heretics 13¢ $5 6d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 8¢ $2 6d
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 28¢ $10 6d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 41¢ $18 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $8 6d
Dota 2: Game Master vs Grey Trac - Game 2 Winner BUY Grey Trac 26¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $8 6d
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 39¢ $8 6d
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 52¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $3 6d
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff SELL Wanted Goons 27¢ $3 6d
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff BUY Wanted Goons 40¢ $5 6d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 48¢ $234 6d
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 14¢ $10 6d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 84¢ $271 6d
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 66¢ $49 6d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 52¢ $48 6d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $49 6d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $51 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 421 history records