Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:39:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa9cd…879b
crypto · 275 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,554 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,549 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$225
Realized−$1,549
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses164 / 110
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)274 / 275
History coverage35d
Avg bet$85
Trades / day92.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 274 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$746
7 days−$1,195
14 days−$1,180
30 days−$1,488
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? Yes 92¢ 90¢ $229 $225 −$4 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -81%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1,196 −$982 -82%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $2,202 +$237 +11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $2,198 +$193 +9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $1,615 −$1,143 -71%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $1,163 +$315 +27%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $2,818 +$185 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $112 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 31 $40 +$15 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET May 26 $188 +$112 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET May 26 $299 −$299 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET May 26 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET May 26 $255 +$161 +63%
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Patrick Kypson May 25 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET May 23 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET May 23 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET May 23 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET May 22 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET May 22 $2 +$8 +354%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET May 22 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET May 21 $2 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET May 21 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET May 20 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET May 20 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET May 20 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET May 20 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET May 20 $3 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET May 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET May 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET May 17 $83 +$9 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET May 17 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET May 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET May 17 $15 +$15 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET May 17 $85 +$14 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET May 17 $158 −$158 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET May 17 $125 +$47 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET May 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET May 17 $93 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET May 17 $93 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET May 17 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET May 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET May 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET May 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET May 17 $185 +$209 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET May 17 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET May 17 $123 +$27 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,554
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 89¢ $2 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 89¢ $20 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 89¢ $7 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 89¢ $15 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 90¢ $45 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? SELL No 1¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 5¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 91¢ $46 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 92¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 92¢ $32 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 93¢ $14 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 94¢ $47 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? SELL No 15¢ $214 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 70¢ $35 23h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 71¢ $36 23h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 69¢ $34 23h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 70¢ $0 23h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 70¢ $27 23h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 70¢ $8 23h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 71¢ $0 23h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 71¢ $34 23h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 71¢ $1 23h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 72¢ $36 23h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 72¢ $36 23h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 73¢ $36 23h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 75¢ $38 23h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 75¢ $38 23h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 75¢ $38 23h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 76¢ $38 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 72¢ $36 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-18.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -22.5% -29.9% 62% 25% -19.1%
≤30d 78 -19.0% -26.7% 53% 35% -18.6%
≤90d 274 -9.6% -18.2% 60% 42% -15.5%
all 274 -9.6% -18.2% 60% 42% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover92.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.2% 42% -15.5%
10% ← realistic here -26.0% 26% -23.6%
15% -33.2% 15% -31.0%
20% -39.7% 8% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $224.62 · official $224.62 (match) · 3500 history records