trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 5 | -9.3% | -18.0% | 80% | 60% | -22.7% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -15.5% | -23.6% | 67% | 47% | -15.1% |
| all | 22 | +13.7% | +2.9% | 77% | 64% | -1.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +2.9% | 64% | -1.1% |
| 10% | -7.0% | 50% | -10.6% |
| 15% | -15.9% | 45% | -19.2% |
| 20% | -24.2% | 32% | -27.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $44 | $44 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 09 | $43 | −$43 | -100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | Jun 08 | $27 | +$4 | +16% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Jun 02 | $41 | +$2 | +6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | Jun 01 | $36 | +$4 | +12% |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | May 27 | $32 | +$6 | +19% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 09 | $56 | +$2 | +3% |
| Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 202 | May 06 | $85 | +$3 | +4% |
| Avalanche vs. Flames | Apr 23 | $38 | +$25 | +67% |
| Capitals vs. Maple Leafs | Apr 14 | $32 | +$22 | +70% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6? | Apr 08 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | Mar 30 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Vera Zvonareva vs Shuai Zhang | Mar 30 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Lakers | Mar 30 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Suns | Mar 27 | $34 | +$15 | +45% |
| Thunder vs. Magic | Mar 24 | $30 | +$8 | +27% |
| Suns vs. Raptors | Mar 17 | $34 | +$19 | +56% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | Mar 13 | $17 | +$8 | +45% |
| Celtics vs. Lakers | Feb 26 | $14 | +$13 | +89% |
| LoL: Solary vs French Flair (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Group | Feb 22 | $16 | +$20 | +127% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | Feb 18 | $15 | +$7 | +43% |
| Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | Feb 11 | $15 | +$15 | +96% |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season | Feb 11 | $19 | +$15 | +79% |