Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T05:24:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
A9 0xa9dc…6c7f crypto 364 markets active 7d ago coverage 26d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$36 (+3%) realized +$36 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate79%288W / 75L
Drawdown70%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day29.4pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$3
30 days+$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% +$22
sports 5% −$5
other 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 292 +2.1% -7.6% 78% 29% -8.1%
≤90d 363 +2.4% -7.4% 79% 28% -8.0%
all 363 +2.4% -7.4% 79% 28% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover29.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.4% 28% -8.0%
10% ← realistic here -16.2% 15% -16.8%
15% -24.3% 6% -24.9%
20% -31.8% 2% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
62% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +5% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.33 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.28 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$36
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses288 / 75
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)363 / 364
History coverage26d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day29.4
Drawdown70%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 363 Trades
no open positions (17 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5 Jun 21 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 21 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 21 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 21 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 21 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 20 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$1 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +3%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? Jun 20 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3AM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +3%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals Jun 17 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5 SELL Under 100¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 7d
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 78¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 988 history records