trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 25% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 22 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 14% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 27 | $91 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $183 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $91 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 28 | $91 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | May 18 | $91 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 14 | $91 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? | May 09 | $91 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Apr 16 | $92 | $0 | +0% |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 27 | $184 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 25 | $184 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 17 | $184 | $0 | -0% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 14 | $184 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 12 | $183 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 08 | $183 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Mar 06 | $183 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Feb 28 | $183 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 06 | $183 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 30 | $173 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jan 03 | $178 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jan 03 | $176 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 02 | $178 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Dec 31 | $175 | $0 | -0% |