Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:30:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa9f5…937f
sports · 469 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$22 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$371 · open +$146
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$21,911
Realized−$371
Unrealized+$146
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses169 / 213
Whale WR (big bets)48%
Est. fees paid−$866
Open positions90
Markets (closed)382 / 469
History coverage1d
Avg bet$200
Trades / day2258.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 90 History 382 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$371
7 days−$371
14 days−$371
30 days−$371
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 Under 57¢ 58¢ $3,486 $3,575 +$89 (+3%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 85¢ 87¢ $2,736 $2,799 +$63 (+2%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 81¢ 84¢ $2,434 $2,536 +$102 (+4%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Anubis Gaming 66¢ 100¢ $1,461 $2,211 +$750 (+51%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 Under 84¢ 86¢ $2,049 $2,112 +$63 (+3%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 85¢ 95¢ $955 $1,068 +$112 (+12%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? No 85¢ 90¢ $915 $966 +$52 (+6%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C G2 NORD 86¢ 100¢ $770 $897 +$127 (+16%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 84¢ 90¢ $706 $760 +$55 (+8%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner Ursa 58¢ 100¢ $389 $666 +$277 (+71%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 53¢ 59¢ $463 $513 +$50 (+11%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? No 85¢ 89¢ $327 $342 +$15 (+5%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 60¢ 73¢ $252 $306 +$54 (+21%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Elena Rybakina 73¢ 77¢ $283 $300 +$17 (+6%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? No 88¢ 92¢ $262 $272 +$10 (+4%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 Under 13¢ 17¢ $146 $191 +$45 (+31%)
Cyle Larin: 1+ goals Yes 19¢ $551 $188 −$364 (-66%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime? No 62¢ 54¢ $206 $178 −$28 (-14%)
Exact Score: Haiti 3 - 1 Scotland? No 96¢ 97¢ $144 $147 +$2 (+2%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 50¢ 100¢ $69 $138 +$68 (+99%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Under 40¢ 22¢ $227 $122 −$105 (-46%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Ursa 70¢ 100¢ $85 $120 +$36 (+42%)
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals Yes 14¢ 12¢ $132 $115 −$17 (-13%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Anubis Gaming 36¢ 14¢ $268 $104 −$163 (-61%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? No 83¢ 86¢ $90 $93 +$4 (+4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $388 −$362 -93%
ITF Martos: Emile Hudd vs Joao Domingues Jun 12 $48 +$4 +7%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs Invicta (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A Jun 12 $68 −$57 -84%
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B Jun 12 $817 −$372 -46%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Jun 12 $163 −$81 -50%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $911 −$335 -37%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $227 −$227 -100%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $291 −$204 -70%
ITF San Gregorio: Dunja Maric vs Nadia Podoroska Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $133 −$47 -35%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Jun 12 $134 −$121 -90%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $6 +$7 +117%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $223 −$77 -35%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $353 −$85 -24%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
ITF Decatur: Madison Brengle vs Malaika Rapolu Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,160 +$933 +80%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $1,460 +$230 +16%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $175 +$13 +7%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $16 +$2 +13%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $36 +$81 +229%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $966 −$28 -3%
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 12 $90 +$37 +41%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $104 −$49 -47%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $518 $0 -0%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $196 −$8 -4%
ITF Nice: Oana Georgeta Simion vs Jenny Lim Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 12 $64 −$58 -91%
ITF kiseljak: Ivan Biletic vs Duje Ajdukovic Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $192 +$19 +10%
ITF San Gregorio: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Alessandra Mazzola Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $15 −$3 -22%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $489 +$40 +8%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $164 +$6 +4%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $954 −$191 -20%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $351 −$253 -72%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Bellucci vs Fritz Jun 12 $170 +$243 +143%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $129 +$32 +25%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $37 −$11 -31%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $28 +$3 +12%
Set 1 Winner: Cirstea vs Raducanu Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $164 −$56 -34%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $39 −$34 -87%
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Majchrzak Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% +$1,683
other 15% −$1,907
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 76¢ $53 1m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 1m
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Forsaken $0 1m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 46¢ $11 1m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 84¢ $7 1m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 BUY Under 84¢ $1,339 1m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 BUY Under 84¢ $489 1m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 55¢ $6 2m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming $7 2m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 10¢ $9 2m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 10¢ $9 2m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 BUY Under 84¢ $6 2m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 BUY Under 84¢ $54 2m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 13¢ $1 2m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 13¢ $1 2m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 BUY Under 56¢ $63 2m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 18¢ $17 2m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 20¢ $38 2m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 21¢ $1 2m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 21¢ $1 2m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 21¢ $1 2m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 38¢ $4 2m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 41¢ $39 2m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 34¢ $14 2m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 35¢ $1 2m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 BUY Under 84¢ $29 2m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 34¢ $4 2m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 35¢ $6 2m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 35¢ $1 2m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 35¢ $2 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-25.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 382 -17.9% -25.7% 44% 36% -10.0%
≤30d 382 -17.9% -25.7% 44% 36% -10.0%
≤90d 382 -17.9% -25.7% 44% 36% -10.0%
all 382 -17.9% -25.7% 44% 36% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2258.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.7% 36% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -32.8% 28% -18.7%
15% -39.3% 21% -26.5%
20% -45.2% 16% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21,910.84 · official $21,910.64 (match) · 3500 history records