Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T14:23:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
AA 0xaa1a…0602 crypto 49 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (3451 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$4,092 (+17%) realized +$4,092 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR25%break-even
Win rate52%27W / 25L
Whale WR62%big bets
Drawdown20%max
Avg bet$484per market
Trades / day3451.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,182
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3451 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 +0.3% -9.3% 52% 25% -5.1%
≤30d 52 +0.3% -9.3% 52% 25% -5.1%
≤90d 52 +0.3% -9.3% 52% 25% -5.1%
all 52 +0.3% -9.3% 52% 25% -5.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3451.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 25% -5.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 13% -14.1%
15% -25.9% 8% -22.4%
20% -33.2% 4% -30.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 23% · top 2 34% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
48% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 62% (≥$627) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +14% → late -14% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
70.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$82 vs −$42 · ×1.96 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×2.12 per $1 lost it wins $2.12
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$4,092
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses27 / 25
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)52 / 49
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$484
Trades / day3451.0
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 52 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 24 $60 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 24 $606 −$79 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 24 $468 −$17 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 24 $729 −$34 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 24 $694 +$36 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 24 $255 −$31 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 24 $546 +$20 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 24 $569 −$22 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 24 $783 −$46 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 24 $430 −$51 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 24 $278 −$13 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 24 $585 −$22 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 24 $661 −$9 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 24 $336 −$11 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 24 $627 +$26 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 24 $567 +$119 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 24 $570 +$195 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 24 $402 +$46 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 24 $356 −$158 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 24 $702 +$123 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 24 $104 −$46 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 24 $396 −$16 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 24 $409 +$41 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 24 $339 −$15 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 24 $397 +$22 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 24 $349 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 24 $379 +$13 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 24 $403 +$19 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 24 $446 +$22 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 24 $858 +$34 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 24 $659 −$135 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 24 $533 +$132 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 24 $374 −$7 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 24 $358 +$43 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 24 $532 −$41 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 24 $363 +$72 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 24 $627 +$15 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 24 $531 −$105 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 24 $719 +$110 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 24 $477 −$33 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 24 $680 +$241 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 24 $471 +$133 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 24 $522 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 24 $653 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 24 $649 −$18 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 24 $307 +$175 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 24 $164 +$58 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $28 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $26 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $9 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $9 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $16 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 18m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records