Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:13:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AA
0xaa29…9ce5
other · 277 markets active 1h ago
6.0score
+$2,135 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,144 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$630
Realized+$2,144
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses122 / 147
Est. fees paid−$64
Open positions8
Markets (closed)269 / 277
History coverage98d
Avg bet$121
Trades / day5.7
Drawdown72%
Kalshi-fit31%
Chart Positions 8 History 269 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$649
7 days+$855
14 days+$510
30 days+$476
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 53¢ 52¢ $181 $179 −$2 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score No 62¢ 60¢ $126 $122 −$3 (-3%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 58¢ $97 $95 −$2 (-2%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $88 $88 −$0 (-0%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 56¢ $71 $69 −$1 (-2%)
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Yes 65¢ 64¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Under 63¢ 62¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $241 +$239 +99%
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? Jun 13 $39 +$28 +72%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $17 +$7 +39%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $26 +$26 +101%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $31 +$5 +16%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $46 +$73 +159%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $119 +$51 +43%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $325 +$105 +32%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $11 +$17 +152%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $114 +$76 +67%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $57 +$55 +96%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $106 +$42 +40%
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Costa Rica? Jun 10 $41 +$72 +175%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 10 $29 +$12 +41%
England vs. Costa Rica: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $23 +$6 +25%
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Nigeria? Jun 10 $23 +$192 +854%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $24 −$2 -6%
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal end in a draw? Jun 10 $12 +$35 +289%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $90 −$90 -100%
Will Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw? Jun 10 $75 −$75 -100%
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $8 +$5 +59%
Will Azerbaijan vs. San Marino end in a draw? Jun 09 $23 −$15 -66%
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $112 −$112 -100%
Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $126 +$62 +49%
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw? Jun 09 $43 −$29 -69%
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $62 +$50 +80%
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $26 +$41 +160%
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $20 +$10 +48%
Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw? Jun 09 $24 +$52 +219%
Exact Score: China PR 0 - 0 Thailand? Jun 09 $20 +$60 +303%
Exact Score: China PR 1 - 1 Thailand? Jun 09 $15 −$6 -40%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $65 −$4 -6%
Peru vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $40 −$40 -100%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $41 −$41 -100%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $92 −$92 -100%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $51 +$29 +57%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 08 $29 −$1 -2%
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 2 Colombia? Jun 08 $25 +$3 +11%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $68 +$13 +19%
Spread: Colombia (-1.5) Jun 08 $62 +$40 +64%
Spread: Colombia (-2.5) Jun 08 $7 −$1 -17%
Jordan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score Jun 08 $21 −$7 -33%
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $72 −$19 -26%
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5) Jun 07 $64 +$25 +39%
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $25 +$9 +37%
Will Greece win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $81 +$52 +64%
Will Greece vs. Italy end in a draw? Jun 07 $22 −$7 -29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 86% +$2,524
sports 12% −$412
world 2% +$24
crypto 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 53¢ $31 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $31 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 63¢ $30 1h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $17 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 53¢ $153 1h
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? BUY Yes 65¢ $30 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 61¢ $51 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $51 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $48 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $480 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $37 10h
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? BUY Yes 57¢ $39 10h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $24 10h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 99¢ $52 10h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 70¢ $17 10h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 29¢ $18 10h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 33¢ $36 10h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 14¢ $36 21h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 63¢ $47 26h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $51 26h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $41 26h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $39 26h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $51 26h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $119 26h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL No 100¢ $170 26h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 69¢ $58 32h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $20 33h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $31 34h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 63¢ $30 34h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $153 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-6.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 +41.8% +28.3% 60% 60% +17.9%
≤30d 74 +18.4% +7.1% 51% 51% +2.4%
≤90d 265 +3.0% -6.8% 45% 45% -3.7%
all 269 +3.8% -6.1% 45% 45% -3.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.1% 45% -3.6%
10% -15.1% 42% -12.8%
15% -23.3% 37% -21.3%
20% -30.8% 30% -29.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $629.99 · official $630.00 (match) · 663 history records