trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -86.4% | -87.7% | 0% | 0% | -87.3% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -29.8% | -36.5% | 17% | 17% | -53.8% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -29.8% | -36.5% | 17% | 17% | -53.8% |
| all | 6 | -29.8% | -36.5% | 17% | 17% | -53.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -36.5% | 17% | -53.8% |
| 10% | -42.6% | 17% | -58.2% |
| 15% | -48.1% | 17% | -62.3% |
| 20% | -53.2% | 17% | -66.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $20 | $16 | −$4 (-19%) |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $15 | $1 | −$14 (-96%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 16 | $38 | −$32 | -83% |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 13 | $30 | −$27 | -90% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 11 | $21 | −$12 | -57% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 10 | $108 | −$61 | -57% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 10 | $276 | −$129 | -47% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 10 | $14 | +$22 | +155% |