Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:51:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AA
0xaa4b…1f99
crypto · 846 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$16 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$96 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$96
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses568 / 278
Open positions0
Markets (closed)846 / 846
History coverage54d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day40.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 846 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$1
14 days−$45
30 days−$75
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +17%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +17%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$4 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +21%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$96
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $8 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 37m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $8 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 51m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 55m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $8 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $8 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $8 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $9 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 330 +1.2% -8.4% 77% 77% -9.4%
≤30d 722 -1.1% -10.5% 68% 61% -11.2%
≤90d 846 -1.2% -10.6% 67% 59% -11.3%
all 846 -1.2% -10.6% 67% 59% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 59% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 27% -19.8%
15% -27.0% 12% -27.5%
20% -34.2% 5% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.03 (match) · 2771 history records