trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -70.8% | -73.6% | 0% | 0% | -70.8% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -14.5% | -22.6% | 33% | 17% | -31.2% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -14.5% | -22.6% | 33% | 17% | -31.2% |
| all | 12 | -14.5% | -22.6% | 33% | 17% | -31.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -22.6% | 17% | -31.2% |
| 10% | -30.0% | 8% | -37.8% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -36.8% | 8% | -43.8% |
| 20% | -43.0% | 8% | -49.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 29 | $1,890 | −$786 | -42% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 29 | $1,530 | −$1,530 | -100% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1,648 | −$140 | -8% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $2,208 | −$27 | -1% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $406 | +$8 | +2% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? | Jun 12 | $3,706 | −$687 | -18% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? | Jun 12 | $223 | +$3 | +1% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | Jun 12 | $779 | −$214 | -28% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $740 | +$639 | +86% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? | Jun 11 | $63 | +$9 | +14% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? | Jun 11 | $1,856 | −$883 | -48% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T? | Jun 11 | $15 | −$5 | -32% |