Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T23:31:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
AA 0xaa60…26a1 crypto 59 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (235 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$4 (-2%) realized −$4 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate54%32W / 27L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day235.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (235 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 -7.0% -15.9% 54% 53% -14.8%
≤30d 59 -7.0% -15.9% 54% 53% -14.8%
≤90d 59 -7.0% -15.9% 54% 53% -14.8%
all 59 -7.0% -15.9% 54% 53% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover235.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.9% 53% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.9% 51% -23.0%
15% -31.3% 44% -30.4%
20% -38.0% 41% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -16% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.7 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses32 / 27
Open positions0
Markets (closed)59 / 59
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day235.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 59 Trades
no open positions (17 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$5 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $7 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$3 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 15 $7 +$4 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$4 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $8 +$5 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $7 +$5 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$6 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$4 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$3 -62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 273 history records