trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -3.4% | -12.6% | 50% | 50% | -45.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -3.4% | -12.6% | 50% | 50% | -45.7% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -9.0% | -17.7% | 47% | 40% | -20.4% |
| all | 199 | -3.6% | -12.8% | 55% | 32% | -11.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.8% | 32% | -11.8% |
| 10% | -21.1% | 30% | -20.2% |
| 15% | -28.7% | 29% | -27.9% |
| 20% | -35.7% | 28% | -35.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 94¢ | 97¢ | $282 | $291 | +$9 (+3%) |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 93¢ | 93¢ | $186 | $186 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | $144 | $147 | +$3 (+2%) |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5 | Over | 53¢ | 100¢ | $49 | $92 | +$43 (+89%) |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Fever | Indiana Fever | 77¢ | 78¢ | $77 | $78 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5 | Over | 51¢ | 52¢ | $51 | $51 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5) | PortlandFire | 48¢ | 50¢ | $48 | $50 | +$2 (+3%) |
| Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries | Golden State Valkyries | 44¢ | 44¢ | $44 | $44 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5) | Indiana Fever | 51¢ | 39¢ | $51 | $39 | −$12 (-24%) |
| Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-9.5) | Washington Mystics | 53¢ | 97¢ | $7 | $13 | +$6 (+83%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5) | Jun 24 | $52 | +$48 | +93% |
| New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 177.5 | Jun 23 | $116 | −$115 | -99% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | May 05 | $80 | −$80 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5 | Apr 03 | $108 | +$89 | +83% |
| Spread: Hornets (-5.5) | Apr 02 | $96 | −$95 | -98% |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5) | Apr 02 | $92 | −$91 | -98% |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) | Apr 02 | $104 | −$103 | -99% |
| Spread: 76ers (-15.5) | Apr 02 | $92 | +$105 | +114% |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) | Apr 02 | $102 | +$95 | +93% |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) | Apr 01 | $108 | −$108 | -100% |
| Spread: Lakers (-2.5) | Apr 01 | $94 | +$103 | +109% |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | Apr 01 | $104 | +$93 | +90% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | Apr 01 | $195 | +$5 | +2% |
| Spread: Celtics (-5.5) | Apr 01 | $108 | −$107 | -99% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on March 29? | Mar 29 | $186 | −$37 | -20% |
| Spread: Rockets (-1.5) | Mar 26 | $98 | +$102 | +104% |
| Spread: Lakers (-10.5) | Mar 25 | $86 | −$86 | -100% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) | Mar 25 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) | Mar 25 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Spread: Warriors (-12.5) | Mar 25 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) | Mar 25 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5 | Mar 25 | $100 | +$100 | +100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5) | Mar 24 | $102 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Knicks (-8.5) | Mar 24 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-5.5) | Mar 24 | $106 | −$106 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-15.5) | Mar 24 | $106 | +$94 | +89% |
| Warriors vs. Mavericks | Mar 24 | $106 | +$94 | +89% |
| Lakers vs. Pistons | Mar 23 | $105 | −$105 | -100% |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) | Mar 22 | $48 | −$48 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 232.5 | Mar 22 | $48 | +$52 | +108% |
| Spread: Clippers (-6.5) | Mar 22 | $53 | +$47 | +89% |
| Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files by Februa | Mar 22 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Rupert Murdoch be named in newly released Epstein files by Februa | Mar 22 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files by February | Mar 22 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in newly released Epstein files by Fe | Mar 22 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in newly released Epstein files by Feb | Mar 22 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files by February | Mar 22 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) | Mar 21 | $49 | −$49 | -100% |
| Spread: Pistons (-6.5) | Mar 21 | $46 | +$54 | +117% |
| Spread: Rockets (-4.5) | Mar 20 | $56 | −$56 | -100% |
| Spread: Bucks (-4.5) | Mar 20 | $45 | +$55 | +122% |
| Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 239.5 | Mar 19 | $47 | −$47 | -100% |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5) | Mar 19 | $42 | +$58 | +138% |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) | Mar 19 | $51 | +$49 | +96% |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) | Mar 19 | $48 | +$52 | +108% |
| Spread: Hawks (-8.5) | Mar 19 | $50 | +$50 | +100% |
| Spread: Rockets (-2.5) | Mar 19 | $54 | +$46 | +85% |
| Will David Koch be named in newly released Epstein files by February 2 | Mar 18 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Wizards (-2.5) | Mar 18 | $57 | −$57 | -100% |
| Will Akamai Technologies (AKAM) beat quarterly earnings? | Mar 18 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |