Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:28:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AA
0xaa77…15a5
sports · 28 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,074 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,803 · open +$3,729
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Net worth$13,529
Realized−$5,803
Unrealized+$3,729
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses14 / 12
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Est. fees paid−$1,335
Open positions2
Markets (closed)26 / 28
History coverage12d
Avg bet$3,391
Trades / day7.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 2 History 26 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5,007
7 days−$807
14 days−$5,802
30 days−$5,802
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 51¢ 69¢ $8,800 $12,034 +$3,234 (+37%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Frances Tiafoe 19¢ 28¢ $1,000 $1,494 +$494 (+49%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 45¢ $2,377 $0 −$2,377 (-100%)
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) Chicago Cubs 50¢ $3,868 $0 −$3,868 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5) Rybakina 61¢ $3,000 $0 −$3,000 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 53¢ $10,028 $0 −$10,028 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider Madison Keys 60¢ $4,933 $0 −$4,933 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Cleveland Guardians 54¢ $1,946 $0 −$1,946 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 50¢ $3,882 $0 −$3,882 (-100%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Zeynep Sonmez 57¢ $4,480 $0 −$4,480 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $3,036 +$1,953 +64%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $10,140 −$10,028 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $2,309 +$1,649 +71%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $4,963 +$3,497 +70%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $4,536 −$4,480 -99%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $4,548 +$2,573 +57%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $3,941 −$3,882 -98%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $4,653 +$3,250 +70%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $2,530 +$1,660 +66%
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5) Jun 12 $3,035 −$3,000 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3,532 +$6,326 +179%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $2,031 +$2,094 +103%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1,941 −$883 -46%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $4,628 +$2,885 +62%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2,490 +$2,155 +87%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $2,056 −$1,601 -78%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $1,222 +$838 +68%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 05 $1,972 −$1,946 -99%
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) Jun 05 $3,925 −$3,868 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 05 $1,949 −$94 -5%
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5) Jun 05 $3,444 −$401 -12%
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Mika Stojsavljevic Jun 05 $2,025 +$1,395 +69%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $2,416 −$2,377 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 01 $1,669 +$748 +45%
Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs Berrettini Jun 01 $1,003 +$666 +66%
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider Jun 01 $4,993 −$4,933 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% −$8,400
other 4% +$6,326
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 68¢ $1,010 20m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 19¢ $1,024 22m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 44¢ $915 47m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 45¢ $2,033 58m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 44¢ $2,542 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 66¢ $2,424 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 54¢ $2,636 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 99¢ $3,959 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 57¢ $2,309 2h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 47¢ $2,509 2h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 99¢ $8,460 3h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 52¢ $812 3h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 58¢ $3 3h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 58¢ $580 3h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 58¢ $44 3h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 58¢ $54 3h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 58¢ $3 3h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 58¢ $17 3h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 58¢ $54 3h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 58¢ $28 3h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 58¢ $17 3h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 58¢ $6 3h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 58¢ $46 3h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 58¢ $3 3h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 58¢ $8 3h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 58¢ $46 3h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 58¢ $939 3h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 58¢ $46 3h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 58¢ $14 3h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 58¢ $2,018 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-4.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +9.2% -1.2% 58% 58% -10.6%
≤30d 26 +5.3% -4.7% 54% 54% -15.7%
≤90d 26 +5.3% -4.7% 54% 54% -15.7%
all 26 +5.3% -4.7% 54% 54% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.1 tr/day
realistic slip~12%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.7% 54% -15.7%
10% ← realistic here -13.8% 54% -23.8%
15% -22.2% 54% -31.2%
20% -29.8% 50% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13,528.84 · official $13,531.10 (match) · 87 history records