Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:18:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AA
0xaa7d…e470
other · 7 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$2 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Chart Positions 0 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2 $0 -6%
Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-06-14? Jun 11 $18 −$2 -8%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $17 −$1 -3%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $2 $0 -3%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $3 $0 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 94% −$2
sports 6% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -3.6% -12.8% 0% 0% -14.3%
≤30d 7 -3.6% -12.8% 0% 0% -14.3%
≤90d 7 -3.6% -12.8% 0% 0% -14.3%
all 7 -3.6% -12.8% 0% 0% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.8% 0% -14.3%
10% -21.1% 0% -22.5%
15% -28.7% 0% -30.0%
20% -35.7% 0% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 19 history records