Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:09:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AA
0xaa7f…ad69
crypto · 15 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$48 -74%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$47 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized−$47
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 7
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions8
Markets (closed)7 / 15
History coverage133d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 8 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Yes 46¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 5.5 Corners Over 52¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Over 45¢ 44¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Over 53¢ 51¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 3.5 Corners Over 47¢ 42¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-10%)
Jonathan David: 1+ goals Yes 35¢ 34¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Leviatán Esports 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jan 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jan 30 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4PM ET Jan 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jan 30 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jan 30 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jan 30 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jan 30 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 72% −$47
sports 18% −$1
other 9% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Leviatán Esports 14¢ $1 1h
Jonathan David: 1+ goals BUY Yes 35¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 3.5 Corners BUY Over 47¢ $2 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 5.5 Corners BUY Over 52¢ $2 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners BUY Over 53¢ $2 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners BUY Over 45¢ $2 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $3 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 131d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 132d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 132d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $4 132d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 132d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $5 132d
Solana Up or Down - January 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 132d
Solana Up or Down - January 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 132d
Solana Up or Down - January 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 132d
Solana Up or Down - January 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 132d
Solana Up or Down - January 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 132d
Solana Up or Down - January 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 132d
Solana Up or Down - January 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 132d
Solana Up or Down - January 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 132d
Solana Up or Down - January 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 132d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 132d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 132d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 132d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 132d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 132d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 132d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 132d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 7 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.00 · official $16.00 (match) · 43 history records