Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T05:45:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
AA 0xaa82…edc5 crypto 669 markets active 2h ago coverage 65d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 64d only
✗ bot/MM pace (51 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$593 (-1%) realized −$593 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate88%589W / 80L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$100per market
Trades / day51.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$49
7 days−$144
14 days−$116
30 days−$599
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,613
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (51 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 -1.6% -11.0% 88% 52% -11.8%
≤30d 278 -0.3% -9.8% 89% 54% -11.8%
≤90d 669 -1.8% -11.1% 88% 49% -11.7%
all 669 -1.8% -11.1% 88% 49% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover51.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 49% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 3% -20.2%
15% -27.4% 0% -27.9%
20% -34.5% 0% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
41% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.3 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$13 vs −$114 · ×0.11 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.82 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

65d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$593
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses589 / 80
Open positions0
Markets (closed)669 / 669
History coverage65d ⚠
Avg bet$100
Trades / day51.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 669 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11PM ET Jun 20 $50 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8PM ET Jun 20 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8PM ET Jun 20 $90 −$90 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10PM ET Jun 20 $16 +$2 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11AM ET Jun 19 $50 +$4 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 6AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$8 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 5AM ET Jun 19 $50 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4AM ET Jun 19 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2AM ET Jun 19 $150 +$31 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7PM ET Jun 18 $90 +$16 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 1PM ET Jun 18 $50 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7AM ET Jun 18 $90 +$11 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4AM ET Jun 18 $50 +$5 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2AM ET Jun 18 $50 +$5 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$4 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6PM ET Jun 17 $90 +$11 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$19 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$6 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$17 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$5 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5PM ET Jun 16 $90 +$17 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2PM ET Jun 16 $150 +$27 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8AM ET Jun 16 $50 +$6 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6AM ET Jun 16 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$8 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6AM ET Jun 16 $150 +$25 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5AM ET Jun 16 $50 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8PM ET Jun 16 $150 −$150 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5PM ET Jun 15 $150 +$33 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12PM ET Jun 15 $150 +$29 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4AM ET Jun 15 $150 −$150 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4AM ET Jun 15 $39 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3AM ET Jun 15 $150 +$33 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1AM ET Jun 15 $150 +$25 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10PM ET Jun 15 $150 −$150 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$5 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET Jun 14 $90 +$19 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET Jun 14 $150 +$21 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET Jun 14 $150 +$36 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$5 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$4 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $52 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $50 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $16 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $50 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $74 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $13 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $15 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $20 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $50 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 6AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $57 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 6AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 6AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $51 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 5AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $52 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 5AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $53 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $50 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $181 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $149 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $43 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records