Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:43:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AA
0xaa8c…f23c
crypto · 903 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$244 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,270 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,270
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses537 / 460
Open positions0
Markets (closed)997 / 903
History coverage161d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day18.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 997 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$446
7 days−$446
14 days−$446
30 days−$446
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - December 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - December 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - December 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - December 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 31, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -101%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +500%
XRP Up or Down - December 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +367%
Solana Up or Down - December 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 31, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,832
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-35.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 100 -85.3% -86.7% 4% 3% -96.4%
≤30d 100 -85.3% -86.7% 4% 3% -96.4%
≤90d 541 -21.7% -29.1% 65% 27% -47.9%
all 997 -28.2% -35.1% 54% 21% -42.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -35.1% 21% -42.7%
10% -41.3% 10% -48.2%
15% -47.0% 5% -53.2%
20% -52.2% 2% -57.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records