trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -27.5% | -34.4% | 43% | 43% | -13.4% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -20.3% | -27.9% | 44% | 44% | -11.2% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +11.4% | +0.8% | 57% | 50% | -8.0% |
| all | 20 | -11.2% | -19.7% | 45% | 35% | -28.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.7% | 35% | -28.4% |
| 10% | -27.4% | 30% | -35.2% |
| 15% | -34.4% | 15% | -41.5% |
| 20% | -40.8% | 15% | -47.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $302 | +$93 | +31% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $51 | −$34 | -66% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $961 | +$143 | +15% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $101 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $534 | −$265 | -50% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 17 | $246 | −$7 | -3% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $252 | +$77 | +31% |
| Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | May 28 | $294 | +$75 | +26% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 28 | $206 | −$33 | -16% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 02 | $29 | +$39 | +135% |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 02 | $28 | +$47 | +168% |
| Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | May 02 | $91 | +$124 | +136% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? | May 01 | $264 | −$250 | -95% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | May 01 | $7,020 | +$255 | +4% |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | Mar 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? | Mar 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? | Mar 13 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale? | Nov 21 | $6,999 | −$5,993 | -86% |
| Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale? | Nov 19 | $1,001 | $0 | -0% |
| Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale? | Nov 12 | $9,488 | +$92 | +1% |