Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:07:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AA
0xaa98…8ec1
crypto · 673 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$48 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$48 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$48
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses264 / 409
Open positions0
Markets (closed)673 / 673
History coverage50d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day19.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 673 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$19
14 days−$10
30 days+$83
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +124%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +83%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$48
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $2 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 220 +3.2% -6.6% 47% 45% -6.1%
≤30d 386 +0.3% -9.2% 43% 42% -2.4%
≤90d 673 -2.2% -11.5% 39% 38% -11.7%
all 673 -2.2% -11.5% 39% 38% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.5% 38% -11.7%
10% -20.0% 38% -20.2%
15% -27.7% 37% -27.9%
20% -34.8% 37% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1308 history records