Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:28:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AA
0xaa99…f152
sports · 774 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$3,587 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,549 · open −$39
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$61
Realized−$3,549
Unrealized−$39
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses513 / 260
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Est. fees paid−$2,245
Open positions1
Markets (closed)773 / 774
History coverage66d
Avg bet$414
Trades / day50.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 773 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$386
7 days+$886
14 days+$134
30 days−$5,271
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Ben Shelton 74¢ 46¢ $100 $61 −$39 (-39%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 64¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Francavilla: Gustavo Heide vs August Holmgren August Holmgren 31¢ 0¢ $123 $0 −$123 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev Alexander Blockx 23¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Zdenek Kolar 58¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanov Karen Khachanov 69¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Tom Gentzsch 79¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev Alexander Zverev 79¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Valencia: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adolfo Vallejo Adolfo Vallejo 37¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Aix en Provence: Alex Michelsen vs Pol Martin Tiffon Alex Michelsen 71¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry Tomas Etcheverry 56¢ 0¢ $285 $0 −$285 (-100%)
Mauthausen: Jaime Faria vs Roman Safiullin Jaime Faria 61¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen Stan Wawrinka 36¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul Alex de Minaur 29¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Nikola Bartunkova Madison Keys 63¢ 0¢ $600 $0 −$600 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Corentin Moutet 54¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi Tommy Paul 74¢ 0¢ $900 $0 −$900 (-100%)
Jiujiang: Adam Walton vs Coleman Wong Adam Walton 44¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Aix en Provence: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Tabilo Ethan Quinn 25¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Heilbronn: Henri Squire vs Pedro Martinez Pedro Martinez 77¢ 0¢ $179 $0 −$179 (-100%)
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Zizou Bergs 85¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Titouan Droguet Titouan Droguet 32¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rebeka Masarova vs Leylah Fernandez Leylah Fernandez 82¢ 0¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Ugo Humbert Ugo Humbert 73¢ 0¢ $1,199 $0 −$1,199 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katerina Siniakova vs Anna Kalinskaya Katerina Siniakova 75¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $402 −$43 -11%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $403 +$141 +35%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $271 +$55 +20%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Jun 12 $101 +$68 +67%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $101 −$100 -99%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Jun 12 $101 −$100 -99%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $101 +$57 +57%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $202 +$74 +37%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $202 −$143 -71%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $202 +$170 +84%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $403 +$193 +48%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $202 +$76 +38%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $100 −$99 -99%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $202 +$82 +41%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $101 −$100 -99%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $202 +$103 +51%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $299 +$55 +18%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $108 −$102 -94%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Michael Zheng Jun 10 $39 +$34 +87%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 10 $100 +$19 +18%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Matteo Martineau Jun 10 $100 +$17 +17%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $14 +$11 +79%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 10 $101 +$34 +34%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Jan Choinski Jun 10 $101 +$36 +36%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $100 −$100 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $101 −$100 -99%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Jonas Forejtek Jun 09 $276 +$56 +20%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 09 $101 +$24 +24%
Bratislava: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Emilio Nava Jun 09 $101 +$63 +62%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Oliver Okonkwo Jun 09 $201 +$31 +15%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 09 $100 −$100 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 09 $301 +$38 +12%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Jun 09 $226 +$53 +23%
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 09 $101 −$100 -99%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Pavel Kotov Jun 09 $302 +$128 +42%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Jenson Brooksby Jun 09 $101 +$11 +11%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Filip Jianu Jun 09 $101 +$23 +23%
Libema Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 09 $504 −$147 -29%
Stuttgart Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Jun 09 $402 +$84 +21%
Libema Open: Jaume Munar vs Martin Damm Jun 09 $202 −$74 -37%
Stuttgart Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Marcos Giron Jun 09 $263 +$104 +40%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Svyatoslav Gulin Jun 09 $100 +$12 +12%
Stuttgart Open: Quentin Halys vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 09 $202 −$75 -37%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Raphael Perot Jun 09 $201 +$31 +15%
Ilkley: August Holmgren vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Jun 08 $201 +$64 +32%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Elias Ymer Jun 08 $201 +$30 +15%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 08 $464 −$17 -4%
Lyon: Laslo Djere vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 08 $314 −$36 -11%
Stuttgart Open: Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsan Jun 08 $302 +$9 +3%
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce Jun 08 $303 +$186 +61%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$3,587
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 100¢ $331 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 74¢ $101 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Mattia Bellucci 16¢ $23 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 92¢ $100 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 90¢ $100 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 90¢ $100 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Mattia Bellucci 21¢ $5 1h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe SELL Jiri Lehecka 100¢ $544 1h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley SELL Jacob Fearnley 100¢ $326 2h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 93¢ $100 2h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris SELL Dane Sweeny 100¢ $169 2h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 82¢ $101 2h
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 81¢ $101 2h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 97¢ $170 2h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 66¢ $101 2h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur BUY Clement Tabur 59¢ $101 2h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 79¢ $101 3h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 53¢ $101 3h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 58¢ $101 3h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Kamil Majchrzak 100¢ $158 3h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Dane Sweeny 59¢ $101 3h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik SELL Alexander Bublik 100¢ $275 4h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 63¢ $101 4h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch SELL Henrique Rocha 4¢ $6 4h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 64¢ $101 4h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch SELL Darwin Blanch 40¢ $52 4h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 86¢ $100 4h
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko SELL Vitaliy Sachko 100¢ $372 5h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo SELL Tristan Boyer 100¢ $597 5h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 75¢ $101 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 +3.7% -6.1% 71% 70% -2.2%
≤30d 204 -6.0% -14.9% 64% 55% -17.8%
≤90d 773 -7.6% -16.4% 66% 51% -10.4%
all 773 -7.6% -16.4% 66% 51% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover50.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.4% 51% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.4% 28% -19.0%
15% -31.7% 14% -26.8%
20% -38.4% 7% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $61.49 · official $62.84 · 3500 history records