trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | +57.3% | +42.3% | 48% | 43% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 21 | +57.3% | +42.3% | 48% | 43% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +57.3% | +42.3% | 48% | 43% | -9.5% |
| all | 21 | +57.3% | +42.3% | 48% | 43% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +42.3% | 43% | -9.5% |
| 10% | +28.7% | 43% | -18.1% |
| 15% | +16.3% | 43% | -26.1% |
| 20% | +4.9% | 24% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 42¢ | 42¢ | $150 | $148 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 57¢ | 57¢ | $100 | $100 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 55¢ | 55¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $40 | $39 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $30 | $29 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $30 | $29 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $20 | −$2 | -8% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $50 | +$19 | +38% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $101 | +$44 | +44% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $152 | +$76 | +50% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $20 | +$51 | +250% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $121 | −$61 | -50% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$63 | +307% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$115 | +1116% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $22 | +$50 | +223% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $33 | +$31 | +93% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $77 | +$4 | +6% |
| Spread: Germany (-2.5) | Jun 14 | $22 | +$8 | +36% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $11 | −$11 | -98% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $22 | −$22 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $56 | −$55 | -98% |