Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:45:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AA
0xaab5…bc89
other · 49 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$102 +22%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$131 · open −$29
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$244
Realized+$131
Unrealized−$29
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses5 / 14
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions30
Markets (closed)19 / 49
History coverage1d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day46.4
Drawdown51%
Kalshi-fit12%
Chart Positions 30 History 19 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$131
7 days+$131
14 days+$131
30 days+$131
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 48¢ 48¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+8%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 11¢ 12¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 19¢ 18¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-5%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 24¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-6%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 14¢ 13¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-7%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? Yes 10¢ 9¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-10%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Yes 14¢ 12¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-11%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-12%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? Yes 16¢ 14¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-16%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-16%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? Yes 15¢ 12¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-17%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes 29¢ 24¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-19%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? Yes 9¢ 7¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-23%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $10 $7 −$3 (-28%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Yes 8¢ 7¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-11%)
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 2 Türkiye? Yes 6¢ 4¢ $10 $7 −$3 (-29%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? Yes 7¢ 5¢ $7 $5 −$2 (-25%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $9 +$71 +770%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $10 $0 -1%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $10 +$52 +510%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 13 $10 +$27 +262%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $18 +$16 +89%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $10 +$86 +838%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 84% +$69
sports 16% +$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Türkiye? BUY Yes 7¢ $5 46m
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 7¢ $7 46m
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 47m
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 6¢ $10 49m
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 13¢ $10 50m
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 15¢ $10 50m
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 50m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $10 51m
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 57m
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 12¢ $10 57m
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 57m
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 14¢ $10 58m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $15 59m
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 4¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 8¢ $8 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 6¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 14¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 6¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 14¢ $10 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $7 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 29¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland? BUY Yes 5¢ $6 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 19¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 15¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 15¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)+45.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +61.3% +45.9% 26% 26% +55.1%
≤30d 19 +61.3% +45.9% 26% 26% +55.1%
≤90d 19 +61.3% +45.9% 26% 26% +55.1%
all 19 +61.3% +45.9% 26% 26% +55.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +45.9% 26% +55.1%
10% ← realistic here +32.0% 26% +40.2%
15% +19.2% 26% +26.7%
20% +7.5% 26% +14.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $243.98 · official $243.98 (match) · 57 history records