trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -15.1% | -23.2% | 44% | 44% | -15.5% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -39.6% | -45.4% | 33% | 33% | -20.9% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -39.6% | -45.4% | 33% | 33% | -20.9% |
| all | 15 | -39.6% | -45.4% | 33% | 33% | -20.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -45.4% | 33% | -20.9% |
| 10% | -50.6% | 33% | -28.4% |
| 15% | -55.4% | 20% | -35.3% |
| 20% | -59.8% | 7% | -41.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 47¢ | 74¢ | $65 | $102 | +$37 (+56%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $54 | −$25 | -47% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Draw at halftime? | Jun 19 | $39 | +$15 | +38% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria? | Jun 17 | $130 | +$29 | +22% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 17 | $15 | −$14 | -91% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria? | Jun 17 | $45 | +$14 | +32% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $27 | +$35 | +127% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $21 | −$21 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $25 | −$4 | -17% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $57 | −$56 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $105 | +$43 | +41% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $8 | −$8 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First Half | Jun 11 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $41 | −$40 | -97% |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? | Jun 09 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |