Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T06:50:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AA
0xaadd…d3f1
finance · 18 markets active 16d ago
5.0score
+$74,846 +75%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$74,846 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY finance specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$74,846
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses12 / 6
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)18 / 18
Avg bet$5,563
Trades / day7.4
Drawdown4%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 18 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days+$68,035
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? May 27 $36,130 +$27,156 +75%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? May 26 $15,299 +$40,239 +263%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? May 25 $3,049 +$353 +12%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? May 25 $588 +$57 +10%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? May 25 $2,085 +$141 +7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? May 25 $51 +$89 +175%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? May 12 $2,895 −$190 -6%
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? May 12 $2,152 −$34 -2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? Apr 19 $2,666 +$2,845 +107%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? Apr 17 $2,100 +$317 +15%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? Apr 09 $4,489 −$588 -13%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? Apr 09 $332 −$332 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? Apr 08 $4,997 +$3,246 +65%
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? Apr 02 $3,903 +$1,426 +36%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? Apr 01 $1,020 +$1,355 +133%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? Mar 30 $4,654 +$1,387 +30%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? Mar 13 $12,733 −$2,558 -20%
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March? Mar 12 $999 −$64 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 71% +$76,537
crypto 29% −$1,691
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? SELL No 99¢ $3,867 15d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? SELL No 99¢ $3,863 15d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? SELL No 98¢ $278 15d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? SELL No 98¢ $1,874 15d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? SELL No 99¢ $967 16d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? SELL No 99¢ $20 16d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? SELL No 99¢ $3,274 16d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? SELL No 98¢ $2,131 16d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 95¢ $2,368 17d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 98¢ $2,450 17d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 95¢ $4,750 17d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? SELL No 98¢ $91 17d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? SELL No 98¢ $509 17d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? SELL No 98¢ $173 17d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? SELL No 98¢ $19 17d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? SELL No 98¢ $699 17d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 93¢ $3,075 17d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 93¢ $48 17d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 93¢ $12 17d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 93¢ $48 17d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? SELL No 92¢ $3,402 17d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? SELL No 95¢ $645 17d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? SELL No 98¢ $2,805 17d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? SELL No 98¢ $4,815 17d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 91¢ $1,431 17d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? SELL No 97¢ $445 17d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 91¢ $11,115 17d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 92¢ $2,309 17d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 93¢ $587 17d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? SELL No 98¢ $4,421 17d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)+29.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 6 +90.2% +72.1% 100% 67% +98.1%
≤90d 16 +50.4% +36.1% 75% 62% +71.6%
all 18 +43.3% +29.7% 67% 56% +58.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.4 tr/day
realistic slip~12%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +29.7% 56% +58.1%
10% ← realistic here +17.3% 44% +43.0%
15% +5.9% 39% +29.2%
20% -4.5% 33% +16.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 605 history records