trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 27 | -1.8% | -11.1% | 41% | 37% | -23.9% |
| ≤30d | 28 | +2.7% | -7.0% | 43% | 39% | -16.0% |
| ≤90d | 28 | +2.7% | -7.0% | 43% | 39% | -16.0% |
| all | 28 | +2.7% | -7.0% | 43% | 39% | -16.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.0% | 39% | -16.0% |
| 10% | -15.9% | 36% | -24.0% |
| 15% | -24.1% | 21% | -31.4% |
| 20% | -31.5% | 21% | -38.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $90 | $87 | −$3 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $463 | +$120 | +26% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $242 | +$31 | +13% |
| Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Croatia? | Jun 18 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $46 | −$45 | -97% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $31 | −$29 | -94% |
| Exact Score: Austria 3 - 1 Jordan? | Jun 17 | $5 | +$26 | +537% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $157 | −$100 | -64% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $27 | −$5 | -20% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $82 | +$29 | +35% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $64 | +$18 | +28% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $67 | −$65 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? | Jun 15 | $115 | −$115 | -100% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $291 | −$253 | -87% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $38 | −$38 | -100% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $171 | −$167 | -98% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $187 | −$16 | -9% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $118 | −$87 | -74% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $189 | −$186 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $100 | +$64 | +64% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $55 | −$29 | -53% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $106 | +$146 | +137% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $101 | +$5 | +5% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $206 | −$206 | -100% |
| Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? | Jun 13 | $103 | +$206 | +200% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 13 | $153 | +$38 | +24% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $147 | +$139 | +95% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $169 | −$22 | -13% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $228 | +$283 | +124% |