Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:11:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xab06…ce5d
crypto · 631 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,053 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,053 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,053
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses293 / 338
Open positions0
Markets (closed)631 / 631
History coverage154d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day12.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 631 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$211
7 days−$1,585
14 days−$1,031
30 days−$1,031
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$5 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$8 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$9 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $38 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $56 −$29 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $72 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $83 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $64 +$23 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$12 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$7 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $41 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$6 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$4 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $54 +$26 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$5 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$886
economics 3% −$139
politics 1% −$23
world 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $7 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $8 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $7 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $9 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $7 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $16 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $8 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $24 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 576 -16.0% -24.0% 45% 36% -28.2%
≤30d 617 -10.5% -19.1% 46% 38% -20.2%
≤90d 617 -10.5% -19.1% 46% 38% -20.2%
all 631 -10.0% -18.6% 46% 38% -20.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.6% 38% -20.0%
10% -26.4% 32% -27.7%
15% -33.5% 26% -34.6%
20% -40.0% 20% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2172 history records