Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:16:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xab0f…22e8
weather · 625 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$89 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$89 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$89
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses339 / 286
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)625 / 625
History coverage95d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day15.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 625 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$18
14 days+$47
30 days+$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 9? No 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals Baltimore Orioles 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Cincinnati Reds 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 16? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Magic vs. Pistons Magic 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 12? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on May 16? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 27? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 1? No 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on May 31? No 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 23? No 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C or below on May 27? No 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 16? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 7? No 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6? No 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 29? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 11? No 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju Jun 13 $4 $0 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 14? Jun 13 $4 $0 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 13? Jun 13 $4 $0 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on June 14? Jun 13 $5 −$1 -16%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 13 $4 $0 -5%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 14? Jun 13 $4 $0 -7%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 14? Jun 13 $4 $0 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14? Jun 13 $4 $0 -5%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14? Jun 13 $4 $0 -7%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 14? Jun 13 $4 $0 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 14? Jun 13 $4 −$1 -22%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $4 +$1 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on June 13? Jun 12 $4 +$1 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 +$2 +33%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 +$2 +33%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on June Jun 11 $1 $0 +33%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 +$1 +30%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on Ju Jun 10 $4 +$1 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $4 +$1 +33%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 10? Jun 10 $4 +$1 +33%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 10? Jun 10 $4 +$1 +33%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 +$2 +46%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 10? Jun 10 $4 +$1 +33%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on Ju Jun 10 $4 −$2 -40%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 +$2 +38%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on Ju Jun 10 $4 +$2 +39%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 10? Jun 10 $4 +$1 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 +$1 +25%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 10? Jun 10 $4 +$1 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 9? Jun 10 $4 +$1 +33%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 10? Jun 10 $4 +$1 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 9? Jun 10 $4 +$2 +33%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 11? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 9? Jun 09 $4 +$1 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on June 9? Jun 09 $4 +$1 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 9? Jun 09 $4 +$1 +32%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June Jun 09 $4 +$1 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 9? Jun 09 $4 +$1 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 9? Jun 09 $4 +$1 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 9? Jun 09 $4 +$1 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 9? Jun 09 $4 +$1 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 11? Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 11? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 9? Jun 09 $4 +$1 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 9? Jun 09 $4 +$1 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 58% +$3
sports 21% −$52
crypto 20% −$34
other 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju SELL No 84¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 14? SELL No 84¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 13? SELL No 79¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? SELL No 90¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL No 61¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 13? SELL No 73¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on June 14? SELL No 53¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju SELL No 72¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 14? SELL No 71¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 14? SELL No 68¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 0¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14? SELL No 72¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14? SELL No 71¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 14? SELL No 70¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 14? SELL No 51¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 14? BUY No 69¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 13? BUY No 61¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 14? BUY No 75¢ $2 2h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 14? BUY No 75¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 95¢ $6 2h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju BUY No 75¢ $4 2h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 13? SELL No 95¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 75¢ $4 3h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 13? SELL No 95¢ $2 3h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 13? SELL No 95¢ $4 3h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 75¢ $4 4h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 13? BUY No 75¢ $2 6h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 14? BUY No 75¢ $0 7h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 14? BUY No 75¢ $4 7h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju BUY No 75¢ $4 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 104 +3.3% -6.5% 67% 62% -6.1%
≤30d 300 +1.2% -8.5% 62% 55% -8.2%
≤90d 593 -2.8% -12.1% 56% 43% -12.0%
all 625 -3.1% -12.4% 54% 41% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.4% 41% -12.1%
10% -20.8% 33% -20.5%
15% -28.4% 14% -28.2%
20% -35.4% 7% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1602 history records