Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:13:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
AB 0xab19…a501 crypto 143 markets active 0h ago coverage 5d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$102 (+1%) realized +$102 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%143W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$49per market
Trades / day34.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$98
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 143 +1.4% -8.2% 100% 0% -8.3%
≤30d 143 +1.4% -8.2% 100% 0% -8.3%
≤90d 143 +1.4% -8.2% 100% 0% -8.3%
all 143 +1.4% -8.2% 100% 0% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover34.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 0% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 0% -17.0%
15% -25.0% 0% -25.0%
20% -32.4% 0% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$102
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses143 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)143 / 143
History coverage5d
Avg bet$49
Trades / day34.1
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 143 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$2 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $59 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$4 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$5 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$3 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $55 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$2 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$2 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $7 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$3 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $70 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $92 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $59 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $55 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $99 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $19 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $7 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $27 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $24 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $23 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 301 history records