Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:12:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xab20…d9e2
sports · 482 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$817 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$572 · open +$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$198
Realized+$572
Unrealized+$20
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses286 / 185
Est. fees paid−$61
Open positions11
Markets (closed)471 / 482
History coverage133d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day24.4
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 11 History 471 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$15
14 days+$145
30 days+$225
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No 99¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+0%)
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $215 in June? No 80¢ 99¢ $29 $36 +$7 (+24%)
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 in June? No 74¢ 98¢ $22 $29 +$7 (+33%)
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? No 99¢ 100¢ $25 $26 +$0 (+1%)
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $510 in June? No 83¢ 94¢ $11 $13 +$2 (+14%)
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $495 in June? No 77¢ 94¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+22%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? No 91¢ 82¢ $12 $11 −$1 (-9%)
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? No 98¢ 100¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+1%)
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $205 in June? No 65¢ 94¢ $3 $5 +$1 (+44%)
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $200 in June? No 61¢ 91¢ $3 $5 +$1 (+49%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja Jun 14 $158 +$15 +9%
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? Jun 14 $87 $0 +0%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 12 $9 $0 +0%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 08 $60 $0 +0%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? Jun 06 $5 $0 +1%
Arnaldi vs. Cobolli: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 05 $17 +$14 +85%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 05 $153 +$60 +39%
Birmingham: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Katie Swan Jun 04 $73 +$1 +2%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 04 $95 $0 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? Jun 02 $28 +$11 +41%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May? Jun 02 $62 +$5 +9%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? Jun 02 $50 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $110 in May? Jun 01 $10 +$1 +11%
Will Solana reach $120 in May? Jun 01 $14 +$1 +8%
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May? Jun 01 $31 +$2 +8%
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May? Jun 01 $32 +$1 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? Jun 01 $46 +$4 +9%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May? Jun 01 $30 +$6 +19%
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? Jun 01 $37 $0 +1%
Will Solana reach $100 in May? Jun 01 $28 +$10 +35%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? Jun 01 $42 +$8 +18%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? Jun 01 $20 +$2 +8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? Jun 01 $15 +$2 +14%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? Jun 01 $44 +$1 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? Jun 01 $31 +$1 +4%
Iran closes its airspace by May 27? May 31 $35 $0 +0%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31 May 30 $79 $0 +0%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May? May 30 $13 +$1 +5%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 in May? May 30 $13 $0 +4%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 in May? May 30 $13 +$1 +5%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $720 in May? May 30 $13 $0 +2%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May? May 30 $21 +$4 +21%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,300 in May? May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May? May 29 $9 $0 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? May 29 $37 +$1 +2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May? May 29 $10 $0 +0%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik May 29 $15 +$8 +55%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May? May 29 $10 −$10 -100%
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games? May 29 $53 $0 +0%
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Valentin Vacherot May 28 $77 +$24 +32%
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026? May 28 $89 $0 -0%
Iran closes its airspace by May 24? May 27 $122 $0 +0%
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Patrick Kypson May 25 $150 −$2 -2%
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China? May 25 $52 $0 +0%
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 24 $49 +$1 +3%
Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Arthur Fils May 24 $61 +$60 +97%
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? May 23 $44 +$1 +2%
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? May 23 $49 +$1 +2%
ITF Changwon: Dayeon Back vs Su Jeong Jang May 22 $1 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 37% +$708
weather 14% −$64
other 13% +$24
crypto 10% +$73
world 8% $0
politics 8% −$179
finance 4% +$26
culture 3% +$10
economics 1% +$5
tech 1% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? SELL No 100¢ $1 9m
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 20m
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 43m
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 54m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja SELL Sinja Kraus 49¢ $1 59m
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja SELL Sinja Kraus 49¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja SELL Sinja Kraus 49¢ $0 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja SELL Sinja Kraus 49¢ $0 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja SELL Sinja Kraus 49¢ $0 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja SELL Sinja Kraus 49¢ $0 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja SELL Sinja Kraus 49¢ $0 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja SELL Sinja Kraus 49¢ $0 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja SELL Sinja Kraus 49¢ $0 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja SELL Sinja Kraus 49¢ $0 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja SELL Sinja Kraus 49¢ $0 1h
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja SELL Sinja Kraus 49¢ $0 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja SELL Sinja Kraus 49¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja SELL Sinja Kraus 49¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 2h
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? SELL No 100¢ $2 2h
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +1.9% -7.8% 100% 0% -5.8%
≤30d 67 +5.8% -4.3% 87% 19% -2.6%
≤90d 243 -0.0% -9.6% 79% 18% -7.7%
all 471 +0.8% -8.8% 61% 17% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 17% -6.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 10% -15.5%
15% -25.5% 7% -23.7%
20% -32.8% 5% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $197.59 · official $197.59 (match) · 3500 history records