Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:09:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0xab24…c4a5

sports · 6 markets active 2h ago

0.5score

−$46 -30%

TOTAL PnL · realized −$45 · open −$1

avoidriskycopy

✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample

Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗

Net worth$53

Realized−$45

Unrealized−$1

Win rate (resolved)20%

Wins / losses1 / 4

Est. fees paid−$2

Open positions1

Markets (closed)5 / 6

History coverage62d

Avg bet$26

Trades / day0.1

Drawdown100%

Kalshi-fit83%

Chart Positions 1 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage

1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

2 days−$45

7 days−$45

14 days−$45

30 days−$45

Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket

Market	outcome	entry	now	invested	value	unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	47¢	46¢	$53	$53	−$1 (-1%)

Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).

Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first

Market	when	invested	PnL	ROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 13?	Jun 12	$20	−$20	-100%
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	Jun 12	$15	−$15	-100%
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	Jun 12	$44	−$44	-100%
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Jun 12	$9	−$9	-100%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Jun 12	$11	+$42	+376%

Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.

sports 51% −$25

other 36% −$1

crypto 13% −$20

Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

Latest trades by this wallet

Market	side	price	size	when
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	BUY Yes	47¢	$54	2h
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	BUY No	2¢	$44	47d
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	BUY Yes	10¢	$15	61d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 13?	BUY Yes	10¢	$20	61d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY Yes	21¢	$11	61d
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY Yes	9¢	$9	61d

From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.

negative after costs — do not copy

break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even

chance a trade nets +20%

net ROI/market (all)-13.8%

timeframe	markets	gross ROI	NET ROI	gross WR	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
≤7d	5	-4.8%	-13.8%	20%	20%	-50.9%
≤30d	5	-4.8%	-13.8%	20%	20%	-50.9%
≤90d	5	-4.8%	-13.8%	20%	20%	-50.9%
all	5	-4.8%	-13.8%	20%	20%	-50.9%

gross = as the leader traded. net = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

turnover0.1 tr/day

realistic slip~5%

edge survives to0%

copier slippage	NET ROI	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here	-13.8%	20%	-50.9%
10%	-22.1%	20%	-55.6%
15%	-29.6%	20%	-59.9%
20%	-36.5%	20%	-63.8%

Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a trap: leader profits, you lose.

✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $52.81 · official $52.81 (match) · 13 history records