Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T21:20:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
AB 0xab2b…0a76 crypto 1499 markets active 2h ago coverage 40d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnoverP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (62 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$872 (+1%) realized +$872 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate55%770W / 636L
Drawdown36%max
Avg bet$50per market
Trades / day61.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 40d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$3,404
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (62 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +2.6% -7.2% 56% 56% -11.8%
≤30d 956 +3.2% -6.6% 56% 55% -3.7%
≤90d 1406 +1.1% -8.5% 55% 54% -5.1%
all 1406 +1.1% -8.5% 55% 54% -5.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover61.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.5% 54% -5.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.2% 53% -14.2%
15% -25.2% 51% -22.5%
20% -32.6% 47% -30.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late +6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$42 vs −$45 · ×0.92 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.12 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

40d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$872
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses770 / 636
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1406 / 1499
History coverage40d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day61.9
Drawdown36%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1406 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 29 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 29 $27 +$23 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 23 $57 −$55 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 23 $89 −$86 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 23 $41 −$39 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 23 $95 +$105 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 23 $61 +$39 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 23 $62 +$38 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 23 $43 −$41 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 22 $58 +$42 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$50 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 22 $111 −$108 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 22 $56 −$54 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 22 $93 +$107 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 22 $110 +$90 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 22 $104 +$96 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 22 $104 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 22 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 22 $105 −$102 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 22 $58 −$57 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 22 $109 −$106 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 22 $54 +$46 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 22 $53 +$47 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 22 $92 +$108 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 22 $47 −$45 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 22 $117 −$113 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 22 $56 +$44 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 22 $120 −$120 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 22 $57 −$55 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 22 $51 +$49 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 22 $109 −$106 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 22 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 22 $47 +$53 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 22 $58 +$42 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 22 $114 +$86 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 22 $48 −$46 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 22 $12 +$8 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 21 $58 +$42 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 21 $102 +$98 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 21 $47 −$45 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 21 $58 −$56 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 21 $28 +$22 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 21 $60 −$58 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 21 $55 +$45 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 21 $26 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 21 $58 +$42 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 21 $55 −$53 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 21 $26 +$24 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 21 $27 +$23 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 21 $57 −$55 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $84 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $57 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $89 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $41 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $95 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $40 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $61 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $62 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $57 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $30 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $57 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $43 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $58 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $50 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $111 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $56 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $93 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $110 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $104 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $104 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $119 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3306 history records