Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:51:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xab35…118d
sports · 1486 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$213 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$213 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$213
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses800 / 812
Est. fees paid−$73
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1612 / 1486
History coverage30d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day115.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 0 History 1612 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,224
7 days−$954
14 days−$623
30 days−$213
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Fagiano Okayama vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 3.5 Over 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-04-11? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5 Over 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will IK Start win on 2026-04-06? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5) Everton FC 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 3.5 Over 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 1.5 Under 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31? No 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 Under 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. St. Louis City SC end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Henan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: DSC Arminia Bielefeld (-2.5) DSC Arminia Bielefeld 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 3.5 Under 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5 Over 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5) AD Ceuta FC 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
PFK CSKA Moskva vs. FK Rostov: O/U 1.5 Under 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Querétaro FC vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5 Under 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-04-18? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-04-12? No 87¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5 Under 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5) Athletic Club 78¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Fagiano Okayama vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-04-11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will IK Start win on 2026-04-06? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31? Jun 12 $3 −$5 -189%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. St. Louis City SC end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Henan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: DSC Arminia Bielefeld (-2.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
PFK CSKA Moskva vs. FK Rostov: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Querétaro FC vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-04-18? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-04-12? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5) Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Nantes: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-05? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-26? Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-24? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. AZ: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
AS Saint-Étienne vs. USL Dunkerque: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-04-18? Jun 12 $5 −$11 -200%
CS Cristal vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29? Jun 12 $1 −$2 -200%
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-22? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will CF Cruz Azul vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-22? Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will FK Dinamo Makhachkala win on 2026-04-12? Jun 12 $1 −$3 -200%
Will UC Sampdoria win on 2026-04-06? Jun 12 $2 −$5 -198%
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 -75%
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Toronto FC (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-05? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 64% +$784
other 36% +$262
world 0% +$4
crypto 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5 SELL Under 100¢ $10 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 13.5 Total Corners SELL Under 100¢ $10 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 SELL Under 100¢ $10 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL No 100¢ $10 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 100¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL No 100¢ $10 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 100¢ $10 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 100¢ $10 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL No 100¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL No 100¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 82¢ $8 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5 BUY Under 64¢ $6 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 BUY Under 29¢ $2 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 BUY Under 66¢ $7 2h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 90¢ $9 2h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 92¢ $9 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 52¢ $5 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY No 30¢ $3 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL No 31¢ $3 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 69¢ $7 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 94¢ $9 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 BUY Under 29¢ $1 2h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 80¢ $8 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 81¢ $8 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 13.5 Total Corners BUY Under 13¢ $1 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 53¢ $4 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 76¢ $8 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 53¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-21.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 669 -54.6% -58.9% 26% 18% -38.4%
≤30d 1612 -13.0% -21.3% 50% 34% -10.8%
≤90d 1612 -13.0% -21.3% 50% 34% -10.8%
all 1612 -13.0% -21.3% 50% 34% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover115.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.3% 34% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -28.8% 26% -19.3%
15% -35.7% 19% -27.1%
20% -42.0% 13% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records