Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:34:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xab3b…a825
sports · 1187 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$287 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$339 · open +$53
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$178
Realized−$339
Unrealized+$53
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses723 / 461
Whale WR (big bets)64%
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1184 / 1187
History coverage288d
Avg bet$49
Trades / day8.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 2 History 1184 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$43
7 days−$43
14 days−$43
30 days+$191
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 72¢ $111 $168 +$58 (+52%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 20¢ $15 $10 −$5 (-32%)
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $100 +$11 +11%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $69 −$68 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $25 +$11 +44%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna Bondar Jun 11 $21 +$3 +14%
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavy May 17 $16 +$5 +32%
UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Preli May 16 $101 +$29 +29%
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims) May 16 $121 +$68 +56%
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims) May 16 $188 +$110 +59%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? May 16 $7 +$21 +291%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11? May 11 $20 −$20 -98%
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Preli May 08 $20 −$20 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main May 08 $25 −$25 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Ca May 08 $14 −$14 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweigh Mar 21 $25 +$7 +28%
UFC Fight Night: Mario Pinto vs. Felipe Franco (Heavyweight, Prelims) Mar 21 $25 +$2 +10%
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims) Mar 21 $20 +$13 +66%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14? Mar 21 $15 −$15 -100%
Penguins vs. Avalanche Mar 21 $20 −$20 -100%
Utah vs. Stars Mar 21 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14? Mar 21 $26 −$26 -100%
Will Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? Mar 21 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07? Mar 21 $67 −$67 -100%
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16? Mar 21 $41 −$41 -100%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14? Mar 21 $100 −$100 -100%
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st mont Mar 21 $4 −$4 -100%
UFC 326: Cody Brundage vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims) Mar 21 $40 −$40 -100%
Lakers vs. Heat Mar 21 $5 +$7 +133%
Suns vs. Spurs Mar 21 $66 +$15 +24%
Spurs vs. Clippers Mar 20 $5 +$2 +33%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17? Mar 20 $20 +$9 +43%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17? Mar 20 $25 +$11 +43%
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Pr Mar 16 $20 +$5 +27%
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Mar 15 $93 +$33 +35%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14? Mar 15 $45 +$48 +107%
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07? Mar 07 $25 +$15 +59%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07? Mar 07 $35 +$57 +163%
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? Mar 05 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 St Mar 05 $4 −$4 -100%
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? Mar 05 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 14, 2026? Mar 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-22? Mar 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5 Mar 05 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-02-20? Mar 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21? Mar 05 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01? Mar 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? Mar 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16? Mar 05 $353 −$99 -28%
Will Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw? Mar 05 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw? Mar 05 $122 +$20 +17%
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Main Ca Mar 05 $25 −$25 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 77% −$749
other 22% +$388
world 1% +$89
politics 0% +$2
tech 0% −$13
crypto 0% +$3
finance 0% −$6
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $15 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 46¢ $16 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $129 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 90¢ $100 6h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-1 BUY 32¢ $51 6h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 52¢ $69 6h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $25 30h
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna Bondar BUY Anhelina Kalinina 87¢ $21 22d
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavy BUY Modestas Bukauskas 75¢ $16 27d
UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Preli SELL Ivan Erslan 77¢ $131 27d
UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Preli BUY Ivan Erslan 53¢ $51 27d
UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Preli BUY Ivan Erslan 72¢ $25 27d
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims) SELL Tommy Gantt 100¢ $190 27d
UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Preli BUY Ivan Erslan 60¢ $25 27d
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims) BUY Tommy Gantt 63¢ $101 27d
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims) BUY Tommy Gantt 64¢ $20 27d
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims) SELL Luis Gurule 100¢ $299 27d
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims) BUY Luis Gurule 63¢ $99 27d
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims) BUY Luis Gurule 62¢ $38 27d
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims) BUY Luis Gurule 61¢ $51 27d
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11? BUY Yes 21¢ $20 32d
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $7 32d
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Ca BUY Sam Patterson 2¢ $14 83d
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweigh SELL Christian Leroy Duncan 100¢ $32 83d
UFC Fight Night: Mario Pinto vs. Felipe Franco (Heavyweight, Prelims) SELL Mario Pinto 100¢ $27 83d
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims) SELL Mason Jones 100¢ $33 83d
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweigh BUY Christian Leroy Duncan 78¢ $25 83d
UFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main BUY Kurtis Campbell 72¢ $25 83d
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims) BUY Mason Jones 60¢ $20 83d
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Preli BUY Losene Keita 73¢ $20 83d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -7.8% -16.6% 75% 75% -27.8%
≤30d 9 +48.5% +34.4% 89% 89% +17.2%
≤90d 33 -15.8% -23.9% 55% 52% -18.0%
all 1184 -3.3% -12.5% 61% 50% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.5% 50% -10.1%
10% -20.9% 40% -18.7%
15% -28.5% 30% -26.5%
20% -35.5% 21% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $178.46 · official $178.46 (match) · 3500 history records