Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T13:41:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
AB 0xab47…32b8 crypto 213 markets active 2d ago coverage 62d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$60 (-4%) realized −$60 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -12% what you keep after slip
Net edge-12%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate48%103W / 110L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day5.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$117
14 days−$60
30 days−$54
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$82
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 105 +0.4% -9.2% 51% 50% -23.5%
≤30d 203 +2.6% -7.1% 48% 48% -17.4%
≤90d 213 +1.7% -8.0% 48% 48% -18.6%
all 213 +1.7% -8.0% 48% 48% -18.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.0% 48% -18.6%
10% -16.8% 47% -26.4%
15% -24.8% 45% -33.5%
20% -32.2% 38% -40.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 22% · top 2 39% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$7 · ×0.96 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

62d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$60
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses103 / 110
Open positions0
Markets (closed)213 / 213
History coverage62d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 213 Trades
no open positions (65 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 16 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $24 −$15 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$7 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +35%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 461 history records