Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:25:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xab50…5d0a
crypto · 789 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$1,531 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$490 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$192
Realized+$490
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses606 / 176
Whale WR (big bets)27%
Est. fees paid−$154
Open positions7
Markets (closed)782 / 789
Avg bet$64
Trades / day9.3
Drawdown95%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 7 History 782 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days+$106
14 days+$106
30 days+$108
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 98¢ 98¢ $129 $129 −$0 (-0%)
Will Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup? No 45¢ 44¢ $18 $18 −$0 (-2%)
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $19 $17 −$2 (-13%)
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $13 $11 −$1 (-10%)
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+2%)
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $4 $4 −$1 (-13%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $684 −$13 -2%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $548 $0 -0%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $706 $0 +0%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 10 $503 +$1 +0%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 10 $694 $0 -0%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 09 $473 +$2 +0%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $840 +$116 +14%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $630 $0 -0%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $665 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $1,007 $0 +0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 16 $73 $0 +0%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 13 $1,059 +$1 +0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 11 $33 $0 +0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 28 $110 $0 +0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Mar 27 $79 $0 +1%
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 26 $156 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - January 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Mar 25 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Mar 25 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Mar 25 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 7PM ET Mar 25 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Mar 25 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Mar 25 $33 −$33 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Mar 25 $30 −$30 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Mar 25 $29 −$29 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Mar 25 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Mar 25 $36 −$36 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Mar 25 $31 −$31 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Mar 25 $34 −$34 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Mar 25 $36 −$36 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Mar 25 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Mar 25 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Mar 25 $39 −$39 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Mar 25 $41 −$41 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Mar 25 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Mar 25 $41 −$41 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Mar 25 $34 −$34 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Mar 25 $42 −$42 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 8AM ET Mar 25 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Mar 25 $46 −$46 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Mar 25 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Mar 25 $47 −$47 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Mar 25 $47 −$47 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Mar 25 $49 −$49 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Mar 25 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Mar 25 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Mar 25 $52 −$52 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Mar 25 $38 −$38 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Mar 25 $47 −$47 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Mar 25 $45 −$45 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Mar 25 $49 −$49 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 72% +$384
sports 11% +$103
politics 11% +$1
economics 5% −$3
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup BUY No 45¢ $18 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 39¢ $672 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 43¢ $481 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 43¢ $66 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 43¢ $548 5h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 39¢ $684 5h
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $129 6h
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 97¢ $32 8h
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 97¢ $20 8h
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 97¢ $55 9h
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 97¢ $47 10h
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 97¢ $14 11h
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 23h
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY Yes 2¢ $4 23h
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY Yes 2¢ $4 23h
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY Yes 2¢ $4 23h
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY Yes 2¢ $3 25h
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 28h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S SELL TheMongolz 50¢ $706 29h
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 97¢ $188 29h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 50¢ $706 30h
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $165 33h
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $50 38h
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $84 38h
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $41 38h
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $7 39h
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $98 39h
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $162 41h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 53¢ $97 44h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 53¢ $10 44h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +76%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +1.4% -8.3% 33% 11% -7.9%
≤30d 12 +1.1% -8.6% 42% 8% -8.3%
≤90d 169 -90.5% -91.4% 5% 1% -51.3%
all 782 +2.0% -7.7% 77% 76% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.7% 76% -8.6%
10% -16.6% 54% -17.3%
15% -24.6% 19% -25.3%
20% -32.0% 5% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $191.54 · official $191.57 (match) · 2730 history records