Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T06:50:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xab51…2473
crypto · 501 markets active 2h ago
3.5score
+$53,962 +78%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$54,513 · open −$676
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$6,823
Realized+$54,513
Unrealized−$676
Win rate (resolved)16%
Wins / losses75 / 386
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Open positions39
Markets (closed)461 / 501
Avg bet$137
Trades / day34.1
Drawdown19%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 39 History 461 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$842
7 days+$19,336
14 days+$48,780
30 days+$54,260
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Yes 13¢ 18¢ $740 $999 +$259 (+35%)
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? No 35¢ 32¢ $815 $724 −$90 (-11%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June? Yes 7¢ 5¢ $1,020 $702 −$318 (-31%)
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30? Yes 16¢ 14¢ $715 $588 −$127 (-18%)
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026? No 13¢ 13¢ $449 $454 +$5 (+1%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes 15¢ 12¢ $553 $418 −$135 (-24%)
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30? Yes 32¢ 34¢ $383 $405 +$22 (+6%)
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30? Yes 10¢ 8¢ $259 $231 −$29 (-11%)
Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 25¢ 28¢ $193 $218 +$25 (+13%)
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)? Yes 26¢ 34¢ $150 $201 +$51 (+34%)
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes 13¢ 18¢ $135 $192 +$57 (+42%)
Will XRP dip to $0.90 June 8-14? Yes 1¢ 3¢ $89 $190 +$101 (+114%)
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 14? No 2¢ 2¢ $139 $183 +$44 (+32%)
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 32¢ 38¢ $153 $181 +$28 (+18%)
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 16? No 2¢ 2¢ $132 $168 +$37 (+28%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30? Yes 10¢ 14¢ $100 $149 +$49 (+49%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of June 8 2026? Yes 5¢ 3¢ $253 $147 −$106 (-42%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 8-14? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $226 $110 −$116 (-51%)
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? No 31¢ 50¢ $61 $98 +$37 (+61%)
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes 6¢ 7¢ $77 $88 +$11 (+15%)
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $71 $70 −$1 (-1%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in June? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $72 $66 −$5 (-8%)
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30? No 10¢ 66¢ $7 $44 +$37 (+565%)
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $38 $38 −$0 (-0%)
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? Yes 25¢ 31¢ $29 $36 +$7 (+24%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? Jun 11 $41 +$352 +850%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 11 $566 +$757 +134%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? Jun 11 $32 −$31 -96%
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30? Jun 11 $124 +$94 +76%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 11? Jun 11 $126 −$126 -100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 10? Jun 10 $95 −$91 -96%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 9? Jun 10 $24 −$24 -100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 9? Jun 10 $239 +$147 +62%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 10? Jun 10 $22 −$21 -96%
Will XRP dip to $1.05 on June 10? Jun 10 $76 −$71 -94%
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch? Jun 10 $39 +$34 +86%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 10 $180 +$75 +42%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 10 $23 +$9 +37%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 10? Jun 10 $58 −$56 -97%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 10? Jun 10 $112 −$110 -98%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 10? Jun 10 $100 −$97 -97%
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June? Jun 10 $776 +$421 +54%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on June 10? Jun 10 $26 −$25 -96%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 10? Jun 10 $112 −$108 -96%
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day? Jun 09 $187 +$116 +62%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30? Jun 09 $442 −$442 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 28? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 25 2026? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 3? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 5? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will Solana dip to $70 on June 2? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will XRP dip to $1.20 on May 23? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will Ethereum reach $2,250 on May 22? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 3? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will Solana dip to $50 June 1-7? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 26? Jun 09 $86 −$22 -26%
Will XRP dip to $1.05 on June 4? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 22? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 9? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will XRP dip to $1.20 May 18-24? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Will XRP dip to $0.85 on June 6? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 7? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026? Jun 09 $33 −$33 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 26? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30? Jun 09 $31 −$31 -100%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31? Jun 09 $33 −$33 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 8? Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 09 $75 −$75 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? Jun 09 $96 −$96 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on June 1? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 1? Jun 09 $36 −$36 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 24? Jun 09 $13 −$13 -100%
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch? Jun 09 $96 −$95 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 46% +$23,286
other 35% +$22,744
finance 17% +$4,410
tech 2% +$608
world 1% +$2,796
politics 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 ( BUY Yes 31¢ $2 2h
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 ( BUY Yes 31¢ $6 2h
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 ( BUY Yes 31¢ $2 3h
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 ( BUY Yes 31¢ $6 4h
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 ( BUY Yes 31¢ $2 7h
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 ( BUY Yes 31¢ $82 8h
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 ( BUY Yes 31¢ $4 9h
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 ( BUY Yes 31¢ $8 9h
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 ( BUY Yes 31¢ $1 9h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? BUY Yes 13¢ $200 9h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 59¢ $1,324 10h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? SELL No 81¢ $80 10h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? SELL No 84¢ $83 10h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? SELL No 88¢ $95 10h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? SELL No 89¢ $89 10h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? SELL No 24¢ $3 12h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $322 13h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? BUY No 25¢ $5 13h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? BUY No 4¢ $27 13h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? BUY Yes 13¢ $404 15h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06- BUY 25¢ $183 16h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? BUY Yes 13¢ $156 18h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 3¢ $154 18h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 13? BUY Yes 4¢ $12 18h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 13? BUY Yes 4¢ $9 18h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 14? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 19h
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June? BUY Yes 16¢ $41 19h
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June? BUY Yes 7¢ $1,086 22h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $12 22h
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30? SELL Yes 17¢ $218 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)+8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 138 -9.4% -18.1% 12% 12% +77.7%
≤30d 240 +66.3% +50.4% 22% 21% +101.6%
≤90d 461 +19.5% +8.1% 16% 16% +42.4%
all 461 +19.5% +8.1% 16% 16% +42.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +8.1% 16% +42.4%
10% ← realistic here -2.2% 15% +28.8%
15% -11.7% 15% +16.3%
20% -20.3% 14% +4.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,823.13 · official $6,823.19 (match) · 3500 history records