trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +1.9% | -7.8% | 75% | 12% | -9.6% |
| all | 26 | +3.0% | -6.8% | 88% | 12% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.8% | 12% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -15.7% | 4% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -23.9% | 4% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -31.3% | 4% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7PM ET | Down | 100¢ | 52¢ | $1,902 | $983 | −$918 (-48%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | Jun 21 | $8,695 | −$11 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | Jun 21 | $8,692 | $0 | -0% |
| Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week? | Apr 09 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Co | Apr 09 | $1 | $0 | +12% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | Apr 09 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana dip to $80 in January? | Apr 09 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16? | Apr 09 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January? | Apr 09 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will no CEO be announced in 2025? | Jan 15 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet? | Jan 15 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Jan 15 | $1 | $0 | +9% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on | Jan 15 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | Jan 15 | $1 | $0 | +22% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novem | Dec 12 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | Dec 12 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October? | Nov 12 | $5 | $0 | +3% |
| Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Oct 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the price of Solana be between $220 and $230 on September 21? | Oct 23 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana dip to $190 in September? | Oct 23 | $11 | +$1 | +5% |
| Ethereum above $4000 on August 22? | Sep 21 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in August? | Sep 21 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election? | Aug 22 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence? | Aug 22 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | Aug 22 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | Dec 15 | $7,356 | +$8 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Dec 15 | $1 | +$1 | +83% |