Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:22:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xab56…e635
sports · 382 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$202 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$188 · open −$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$163
Realized−$188
Unrealized−$14
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses212 / 149
Est. fees paid−$30
Open positions21
Markets (closed)361 / 382
History coverage6d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day254.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 21 History 361 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$149
7 days−$188
14 days−$188
30 days−$188
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 62¢ 100¢ $13 $20 +$8 (+60%)
Will Japan win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 7¢ 23¢ $5 $16 +$11 (+226%)
Will Rafael Leão score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 48¢ 38¢ $15 $12 −$3 (-19%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Robin Montgomery 79¢ 86¢ $11 $12 +$1 (+9%)
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 63¢ 64¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Antoine Semenyo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 55¢ 54¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 31¢ 30¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-5%)
World Cup Goals H2H: Haaland vs. Alvarez Haaland 64¢ 60¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-5%)
Will Cristiano Ronaldo's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 66¢ 61¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-8%)
I'll read the skill first to apply the correct format.Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 43¢ 32¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-25%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 65¢ 100¢ $4 $7 +$2 (+53%)
Will Martin Ødegaard score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 52¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 66¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+51%)
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 46¢ 43¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-7%)
Will Son Heung-min score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 30¢ 28¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-7%)
Will Germany win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Will Enzo Fernández score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 35¢ 32¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-9%)
Will Neymar Jr.'s national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 29¢ 24¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-15%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Yes 46¢ 46¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 70¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+43%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 70¢ 69¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Daria Snigur 56¢ 14¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-74%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 66¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-99%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $3 +$1 +43%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $16 −$3 -18%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $7 +$4 +60%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $9 +$1 +16%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $20 −$12 -60%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $2 +$2 +99%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $8 +$8 +104%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $15 −$1 -6%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $22 +$1 +3%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $1 +$2 +137%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $4 −$1 -15%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $7 +$1 +15%
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 +$1 +121%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $9 +$1 +12%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 −$11 -56%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $2 +$2 +70%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $7 +$1 +11%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $8 +$3 +35%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $7 +$9 +126%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 12 $19 +$11 +59%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $5 −$1 -25%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5) Jun 12 $3 +$2 +58%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 12 $7 +$2 +28%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 Jun 11 $4 +$1 +28%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $7 +$3 +39%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $8 −$3 -40%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? Jun 11 $1 $0 +11%
Spread: South Africa (-2.5) Jun 11 $1 $0 -0%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $8 −$3 -36%
South Africa leading at halftime? Jun 11 $3 $0 +1%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $3 $0 +6%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $3 +$2 +92%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $20 $0 -1%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $8 +$1 +16%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $9 +$4 +44%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $16 +$3 +20%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $12 −$8 -66%
Tucuman: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Jun 11 $1 $0 +23%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) Jun 11 $3 −$1 -28%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5) Jun 11 $2 +$1 +46%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $5 −$3 -69%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $4 +$2 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% −$186
other 8% −$27
world 0% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 81¢ $2 9m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 81¢ $1 9m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 78¢ $5 12m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 78¢ $2 12m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 78¢ $2 12m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 56¢ $1 38m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 70¢ $2 46m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 59¢ $2 52m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 85¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 86¢ $2 1h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 66¢ $2 1h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 66¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 81¢ $2 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 75¢ $2 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 75¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 55¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 58¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 45¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 57¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 83¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 80¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 40¢ $3 2h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 61¢ $1 2h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 75¢ $2 2h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 53¢ $1 2h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 77¢ $1 2h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 75¢ $2 2h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 56¢ $1 2h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 58¢ $1 2h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 51¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 361 -2.1% -11.4% 59% 47% -15.8%
≤30d 361 -2.1% -11.4% 59% 47% -15.8%
≤90d 361 -2.1% -11.4% 59% 47% -15.8%
all 361 -2.1% -11.4% 59% 47% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover254.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 47% -15.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 34% -23.9%
15% -27.6% 25% -31.2%
20% -34.7% 17% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $163.43 · official $163.43 (match) · 1844 history records