Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:32:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xab61…bae5
other · 231 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$69 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$79 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$50
Realized−$79
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses10 / 220
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions1
Markets (closed)230 / 231
History coverage124d
Avg bet$208
Trades / day9.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 1 History 230 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$19
14 days−$28
30 days−$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 99¢ 99¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 14 $602 $0 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $190 $0 -0%
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $182 −$1 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 13 $51 $0 -0%
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 13 $139 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $221 −$1 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $303 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $197 $0 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 12 $585 −$1 -0%
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 12 $52 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $575 −$1 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $462 −$1 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $202 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $254 −$1 -0%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $396 −$1 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $253 $0 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $204 −$1 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $136 $0 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $136 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $299 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $468 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $192 −$1 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $228 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $200 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $494 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 09 $445 −$1 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 09 $325 −$1 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 09 $245 $0 -0%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $292 −$1 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 08 $280 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $454 −$1 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $437 −$1 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $117 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 07 $350 −$1 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $654 −$1 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $466 −$1 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 06 $482 −$1 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 06 $349 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $270 $0 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $691 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 06 $497 −$1 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $297 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 05 $263 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $194 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 04 $503 −$1 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $249 −$1 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $128 $0 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 02 $345 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $231 $0 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 31 $124 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 46% −$38
sports 27% −$23
politics 6% −$4
crypto 6% −$5
culture 5% −$5
economics 4% −$4
world 4% $0
tech 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $50 1h
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $50 2h
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $50 4h
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $50 5h
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $51 6h
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $48 8h
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $48 9h
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $51 12h
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $51 14h
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 96¢ $51 14h
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 97¢ $51 15h
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 98¢ $51 17h
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $51 19h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $51 20h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $51 22h
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 96¢ $16 22h
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 96¢ $19 24h
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 96¢ $35 26h
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 98¢ $51 32h
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 98¢ $51 33h
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 97¢ $51 35h
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 98¢ $52 36h
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $52 39h
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $52 41h
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $52 42h
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $52 44h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $52 45h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $52 47h
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $52 2d
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $52 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 73 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 179 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
all 230 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $50.32 · official $50.32 (match) · 1288 history records