Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xab63…1551
sports · 388 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$249 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$387 · open −$134
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$75
Realized+$387
Unrealized−$134
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses235 / 134
Est. fees paid−$47
Open positions19
Markets (closed)369 / 388
History coverage13d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day160.6
Drawdown44%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 19 History 369 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$274
7 days+$361
14 days+$387
30 days+$387
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 40¢ 40¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-2%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? Yes 45¢ 90¢ $6 $13 +$6 (+99%)
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 51¢ 55¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 67¢ 78¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+16%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 Over 94¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+7%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 80¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-5%)
Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 57¢ 57¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? Yes 84¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Over 84¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score No 54¢ 0¢ $115 $1 −$114 (-99%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Over 54¢ 44¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-18%)
Will Czechia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 29¢ 20¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-33%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 20¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 34¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-97%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $9 +$30 +344%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $23 −$21 -91%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $14 −$9 -66%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $53 −$3 -5%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $20 +$19 +98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $34 −$9 -27%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $54 −$9 -16%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $63 +$70 +110%
Set Handicap: Samuel (-1.5) vs Sweeny (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$4 -26%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $11 +$38 +344%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $26 +$22 +84%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $2 $0 -8%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $12 +$8 +65%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$2 -13%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp Jun 13 $1 $0 -0%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 13 $1 $0 -8%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? Jun 13 $4 +$7 +154%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $10 +$5 +53%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $22 +$3 +15%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$50 +520%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15? Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 15? Jun 13 $8 −$1 -11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? Jun 13 $12 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +167%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $11 −$7 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$8 +37%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $63 +$26 +42%
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca Jun 13 $4 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 60% +$349
crypto 33% −$45
other 3% −$44
world 2% +$8
politics 1% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $1 31m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 54¢ $1 33m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 86¢ $2 33m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 94¢ $1 33m
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? BUY Yes 84¢ $1 44m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 84¢ $1 44m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 97¢ $1 44m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 47¢ $1 44m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 92¢ $1 44m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 92¢ $1 44m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $25 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $4 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $3 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-4.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 251 +8.2% -2.1% 53% 35% +0.4%
≤30d 369 +5.1% -4.9% 64% 31% -1.1%
≤90d 369 +5.1% -4.9% 64% 31% -1.1%
all 369 +5.1% -4.9% 64% 31% -1.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover160.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.9% 31% -1.1%
10% ← realistic here -14.0% 26% -10.5%
15% -22.3% 20% -19.2%
20% -29.9% 15% -27.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $74.99 · official $75.36 (match) · 2359 history records