Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:41:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xab66…6c76
crypto · 1371 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$414 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$414 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$414
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses836 / 535
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1371 / 1371
History coverage63d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day44.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1371 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$37
7 days−$33
14 days−$55
30 days−$148
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 90¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 51¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 61¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 40¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 83¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 89¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 49¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 27¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 47¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 50¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 65¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 45¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 63¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 49¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 48¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 10¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 58¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 38¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 81¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 48¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 47¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 41¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 46¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 39¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 46¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -82%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +60%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$414
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $6 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $6 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $6 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $4 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 356 -0.5% -10.0% 88% 20% -11.0%
≤30d 783 -3.3% -12.5% 76% 25% -12.3%
≤90d 1371 -5.1% -14.1% 61% 27% -14.2%
all 1371 -5.1% -14.1% 61% 27% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover44.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.1% 27% -14.2%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 17% -22.4%
15% -29.8% 13% -29.9%
20% -36.7% 10% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records