Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:12:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xab77…e340
crypto · 1141 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$64 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$84 · open +$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$48
Realized−$84
Unrealized+$20
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses611 / 581
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1192 / 1141
History coverage5d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day548.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 1192 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$242
7 days−$84
14 days−$84
30 days−$84
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $4 $8 +$4 (+99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $4 $8 +$4 (+99%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $4 $8 +$4 (+99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 0¢ 50¢ $0 $4 +$4 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 0¢ 50¢ $0 $4 +$4 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 0¢ 50¢ $0 $4 +$4 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 0¢ 50¢ $0 $4 +$4 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +1462%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -893%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -195%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -1934%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -592%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$131
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $1 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 11¢ $1 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $1 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $1 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 9¢ $1 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 9¢ $1 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 13¢ $1 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $1 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $1 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $1 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 32m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1192 -5.6% -14.6% 51% 38% -10.2%
≤30d 1192 -5.6% -14.6% 51% 38% -10.2%
≤90d 1192 -5.6% -14.6% 51% 38% -10.2%
all 1192 -5.6% -14.6% 51% 38% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover548.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 38% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 32% -18.8%
15% -30.2% 32% -26.7%
20% -37.1% 30% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $47.88 · official $47.88 (match) · 3500 history records