trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 31 | -11.3% | -19.8% | 26% | 16% | -12.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.8% | 16% | -12.9% |
| 10% | -27.4% | 16% | -21.2% |
| 15% | -34.5% | 16% | -28.8% |
| 20% | -40.9% | 16% | -35.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $534 | $534 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $509 | $509 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 25 | $1,025 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 24 | $513 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 24 | $529 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 23 | $1,032 | −$2 | -0% |
| Kings vs. Capitals | Nov 17 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Spurs | Nov 17 | $10 | +$13 | +133% |
| Grizzlies vs. Celtics | Nov 11 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| DET vs. BAL: O/U 54.5 | Sep 22 | $42 | −$42 | -100% |
| Giants vs. Diamondbacks | Sep 22 | $22 | +$22 | +100% |
| Blue Jays vs. Rays | Sep 17 | $11 | +$11 | +100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 16 | $5 | +$6 | +127% |
| Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 25 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Jul 15 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Adrian Zandberg be the next President of Poland? | Jun 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | May 19 | $3 | $0 | -2% |
| Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 15 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League? | May 15 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May? | May 12 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May? | May 08 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May? | May 06 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 05 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 27 | $5 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 27 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Panthers vs. Utah | Jan 09 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Panthers vs. Avalanche | Jan 08 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will the Giants get the second pick? | Jan 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Senators vs. Blues | Jan 05 | $102 | +$101 | +99% |
| Who will speak more at VP Debate? | Oct 02 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| 草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)? | Oct 01 | $15 | $0 | -2% |