Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:47:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xaba7…fac8
crypto · 1745 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$1,273 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,273 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,273
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses1578 / 167
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1745 / 1745
History coverage47d
Avg bet$64
Trades / day36.9
Drawdown87%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1745 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,554
7 days+$73
14 days−$947
30 days+$759
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $186 $0 −$186 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $175 +$26 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $87 +$6 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $87 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $87 +$14 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $86 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $57 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $86 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $60 +$7 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $93 −$89 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $59 +$8 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $59 +$11 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $58 +$10 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $188 +$32 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $191 −$186 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $186 +$11 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $186 +$20 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $184 +$9 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $180 +$21 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $182 +$45 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $179 +$11 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $178 +$10 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $177 +$25 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $88 +$16 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $174 +$41 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $172 +$8 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $171 +$8 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $85 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $169 +$11 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $85 +$10 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $84 +$12 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $84 +$8 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $167 +$17 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $166 +$14 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $111 −$111 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $118 −$118 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $121 −$121 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $124 −$124 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,273
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $175 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $87 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $87 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $87 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $86 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $57 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $86 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $60 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $93 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $59 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $59 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $58 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $188 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $191 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $186 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $186 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $184 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $180 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $182 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $179 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $178 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $177 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $88 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $174 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $172 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $171 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $85 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $169 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $85 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $84 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 334 -0.6% -10.0% 90% 32% -9.3%
≤30d 1275 +1.2% -8.5% 90% 32% -8.8%
≤90d 1745 +2.0% -7.7% 90% 32% -8.5%
all 1745 +2.0% -7.7% 90% 32% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.7% 32% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here -16.5% 9% -17.2%
15% -24.6% 4% -25.2%
20% -32.0% 2% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records