trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 60% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 14 | -0.7% | -10.2% | 29% | 0% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.2% | 0% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -18.8% | 0% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -26.6% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -33.8% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out by June 30? | Jun 27 | $128 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 19? | Apr 28 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Apr 28 | $282 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 3? | Apr 07 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 25? | Apr 02 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 19? | Mar 25 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 05 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 04 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? | Mar 03 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 03 | $14 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 01 | $91 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 28 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 27 | $36 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jan 29 | $11 | $0 | +0% |