trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | +2.1% | -7.6% | 65% | 65% | +2.5% |
| ≤30d | 32 | -20.5% | -28.0% | 50% | 50% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 32 | -20.5% | -28.0% | 50% | 50% | -9.8% |
| all | 32 | -20.5% | -28.0% | 50% | 50% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.0% | 50% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -34.9% | 44% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -41.2% | 34% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -47.0% | 22% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 | Over | 50¢ | 50¢ | $500 | $505 | +$5 (+1%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $172 | $162 | −$10 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $506 | +$301 | +60% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $504 | −$337 | -67% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $504 | +$154 | +30% |
| Spread: Spain (-4.5) | Jun 21 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $504 | +$180 | +36% |
| Spread: Japan (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $503 | +$99 | +20% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $505 | +$140 | +28% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $101 | +$65 | +65% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $102 | +$72 | +71% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $506 | +$285 | +56% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $96 | −$4 | -4% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $56 | +$41 | +73% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 17 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $201 | −$200 | -99% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $201 | +$46 | +23% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $202 | +$93 | +46% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $101 | +$94 | +93% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 14 | $203 | −$200 | -99% |
| Spread: Germany (-2.5) | Jun 14 | $202 | +$74 | +37% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $202 | +$110 | +55% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $203 | −$200 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $119 | −$118 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $503 | +$69 | +14% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $92 | −$19 | -20% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $397 | +$173 | +44% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC? | May 30 | $98 | −$95 | -97% |
| Will a team from England be the 2026 Champions League winner? | May 30 | $290 | −$285 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC? | May 30 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 0 Arsenal FC? | May 30 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |