Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:03:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xabb2…f51f
crypto · 159 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$2,174 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,158 · open −$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$274
Realized−$2,158
Unrealized−$16
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses56 / 97
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions6
Markets (closed)153 / 159
History coverage100d
Avg bet$82
Trades / day5.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 6 History 153 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32
7 days−$163
14 days−$163
30 days−$163
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $80 $79 −$1 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 50¢ 46¢ $80 $74 −$6 (-7%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) United States 24¢ 22¢ $40 $36 −$4 (-10%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-3%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-4%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 12¢ 10¢ $30 $26 −$4 (-12%)
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $139 $0 −$139 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $239 $0 −$239 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $94 −$90 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $89 −$85 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $127 +$25 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $88 −$86 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$23 -68%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $249 −$99 -40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $78 +$66 +85%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $67 +$37 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $73 +$151 +205%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $41 +$17 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $68 −$50 -73%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $122 −$104 -85%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $88 +$115 +130%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $88 +$98 +111%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $67 −$18 -26%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $67 +$40 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $67 +$41 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $51 +$31 +61%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 11 $41 −$40 -98%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $51 +$43 +85%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $44 −$38 -86%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 07 $52 −$50 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 07 $124 −$83 -67%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 07 $73 +$68 +94%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 07 $85 −$72 -85%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 07 $55 −$54 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 07 $66 −$57 -86%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 07 $51 +$20 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 07 $34 −$34 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 07 $72 +$56 +77%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 07 $69 −$56 -82%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 07 $148 +$31 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 07 $55 +$91 +164%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 07 $101 −$17 -17%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 07 $43 +$62 +146%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 07 $51 +$18 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 07 $43 −$23 -54%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 07 $71 +$13 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 07 $50 +$6 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 07 $43 −$27 -63%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 07 $63 +$52 +84%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 07 $47 −$32 -68%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 07 $36 +$18 +49%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 07 $16 −$12 -78%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 6PM ET Jun 06 $26 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 06 $57 −$57 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 06 $75 +$22 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 06 $26 −$25 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 06 $79 −$42 -53%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$2,161
other 2% −$52
sports 1% +$39
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 14¢ $31 3h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 16¢ $31 3h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 12¢ $31 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $26 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $26 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $26 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $26 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $26 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $152 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $25 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $101 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $26 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $26 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $26 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $11 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $26 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $6 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $26 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $93 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-34.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 -6.8% -15.6% 52% 51% -11.3%
≤30d 65 -6.8% -15.6% 52% 51% -11.3%
≤90d 72 -13.2% -21.5% 49% 47% -16.0%
all 153 -27.2% -34.1% 37% 34% -24.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -34.1% 34% -24.8%
10% -40.4% 28% -32.0%
15% -46.2% 25% -38.6%
20% -51.4% 19% -44.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $273.80 · official $273.80 (match) · 555 history records