Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:12:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AB
0xabb5…ea33
crypto · 556 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$340 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$398 · open −$73
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$323
Realized−$398
Unrealized−$73
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses465 / 61
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions30
Markets (closed)526 / 556
History coverage4d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day708.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 30 History 526 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$39
7 days−$398
14 days−$398
30 days−$398
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 92¢ 100¢ $25 $27 +$2 (+9%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 14? Yes 96¢ 100¢ $16 $17 +$1 (+4%)
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 97¢ 100¢ $16 $17 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 14? No 98¢ 99¢ $17 $17 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on June 14? No 98¢ 100¢ $16 $17 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 14? No 98¢ 98¢ $17 $16 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 14? Yes 98¢ 99¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+1%)
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 14? No 98¢ 99¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+1%)
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 96¢ 95¢ $16 $16 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 14? No 98¢ 97¢ $16 $16 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14? Yes 94¢ 83¢ $17 $15 −$2 (-12%)
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 97¢ 82¢ $16 $14 −$3 (-16%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 14? No 95¢ 80¢ $16 $14 −$3 (-16%)
Set 1 Winner: Siniakova vs Yuan Siniakova 96¢ 66¢ $16 $11 −$5 (-31%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 14? No 98¢ 97¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 14? No 98¢ 97¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Bilibili Gaming 94¢ 50¢ $17 $9 −$8 (-46%)
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Noir Esports - Game 1 Winner Noir Esports 97¢ 50¢ $16 $8 −$8 (-48%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 14? No 98¢ 55¢ $15 $8 −$7 (-44%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 14? No 93¢ 100¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+7%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 14? No 95¢ 100¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 14? No 96¢ 100¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14? No 96¢ 100¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on June 14? No 97¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 14? No 88¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+14%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$2 +9%
ITF Zagreb: Elina Avanesyan vs Kajsa Rinaldo Persson Jun 14 $16 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$2 +7%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Second half draw? Jun 14 $1 −$2 -200%
Set 1 Winner: Burel vs Lim Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$3 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$2 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +5%
Dota 2: Mentality Monster vs Carstensz (BO3) - EPL World Series Southe Jun 14 $17 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +6%
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $17 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
Dota 2: Mentality Monster vs Carstensz - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$3 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$2 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$3 +17%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$2 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$364
weather 3% −$38
sports 2% −$56
other 1% −$14
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $25 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $25 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $25 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $25 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Catalunya G BUY No 98¢ $10 1h
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Catalu BUY No 98¢ $6 1h
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand BUY No 96¢ $16 1h
Set 1 Winner: Burel vs Lim BUY Lim 98¢ $16 1h
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Gra BUY No 97¢ $16 1h
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 97¢ $16 1h
Set 1 Winner: Siniakova vs Yuan BUY Siniakova 96¢ $16 1h
ITF Zagreb: Elina Avanesyan vs Kajsa Rinaldo Persson BUY Elina Avanesyan 94¢ $16 1h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 15? BUY No 96¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14? BUY Yes 94¢ $17 1h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $16 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $25 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June BUY No 98¢ $17 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $15 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 2h
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $17 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $17 2h
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $16 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 526 -0.3% -9.8% 88% 20% -13.7%
≤30d 526 -0.3% -9.8% 88% 20% -13.7%
≤90d 526 -0.3% -9.8% 88% 20% -13.7%
all 526 -0.3% -9.8% 88% 20% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover708.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 20% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 1% -22.0%
15% -26.3% 1% -29.5%
20% -33.5% 1% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $323.27 · official $322.70 (match) · 3274 history records